Term structure: Flat to slightly elevated near term; steep put skew on 6/18
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-6.4M)
Gamma flip: ~$330.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 15,244 (15.9% below spot)
OI concentrations: Call wall $430-$500; Put floor $220-$330; Max pain pins $408-$415
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-02 $380.00/$375.00 put spread
Sell 380/375 put spread, collect 1.71, max loss 3.29.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks 364 or VIX >23.
#2Short strangle
Sell 2026-07-02 $380.00 put + sell $415.00 call
Sell 380 put and 415 call for 25.66 credit, unlimited risk.
Mgmt: Monitor gamma; adjust if spot approaches boundaries.
#3Call diagonal
Sell 2026-07-02 $415.00 call / buy 2026-08-21 $410.00 call
Sell front-month 415 call, buy back-month 410 call, net long vega.
Mgmt: Close if spot nears 415 or IV expands.
!Negative dealer gamma ($-6.4M) increases volatility risk
!Spot 3.8% below max pain; potential upside reversion
!Elevated put OI below spot provides support but also pin risk