thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $298.01EOD only
Max Pain
$295.00
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.78
1.3% from close
Price Gap
-3.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because the price is far above max pain ($265) and front-end IV is low, increasing pin risk if spot fails to hold $295; also the 42-day distance to earnings means no immediate catalyst.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pinning near $300 — GEX positive ($406.9M), aggressive call flow (+$234M), and normal IV all support a slow grind higher with dealer hedging amplifying the pin.

Where They Diverge

Earnings 42d away has little near-term impact, but the front-end IV is low (6-12%) while back-month IV is elevated; this term structure suggests the market expects a vol expansion closer to the event, which could cap upside as IV risk premia may sell off.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-07-24 $275/$260 put credit spread for $1.50 credit — defined risk, profits from slow drift up, and aligns with theta decay and bullish flow.

Key Risk

Break below $292 support (weekly low) would flip dealer gamma long, accelerating a move to $287.74 support and invalidating the bullish pin — then downside continues toward max pain at $265.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.