thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $310.26EOD only
Max Pain
$305.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.92
1.6% from close
Price Gap
-5.26
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
44
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 3, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 3, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 4, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.5

out of 10

8.5 not 9 because while all four personas are bullish, the earnings event is 5 weeks away and macro tech weakness (QQQ -0.48%) could disrupt the pin. If the pin holds through June, conviction would rise to 9.5.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas agree on a bullish pin to the $305-$320 range, supported by strong dealer gamma ($599M), bullish flow (+$247M), and a low PCR (0.48), with high confidence across the board.

Where They Diverge

No fundamental conflicts; theta's short premium trade relies on pinning while directional and flow target upside to $320, but these are compatible under the pin scenario. The only tension is theta's warning of VIX spike risk vs. directional's low vol environment.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-06-26 $305/$300 put spread and $320/$325 call spread as an iron condor for $0.65 credit.

Key Risk

Break below $305 support flips dealer gamma long and triggers stop-loss cascade, invalidating the pin thesis and accelerating downside to $299.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 4, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.