thetaOwl

WULF

TeraWulf Inc.Close $27.86EOD only
Max Pain
$18.00
Next expiry Jun 18, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.21
4.4% from close
Price Gap
-9.86
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.37
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects WULF options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 17, 2026 close
WULF Directional Report
Analysis based on market close June 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

WULF shows structural dealer long gamma and pinning at $26, favoring a bullish bias with limited downside in the near term despite high vol. Thesis: range-bound with upside bias toward $29-$30 over 1-2 weeks.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
Base 5; +2 GEX/flow aligned (strong dealer long gamma); +1 GEX pinning; -1 spot 54.8% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18. Total 7.5.
Supports: Dealer long gamma, pinning at $26, strong GEX/DEX, support at $23.6.
Conflicts: High vol, spot far from MP, mixed flow.
🔵GEX +$163.9M; dealer long gamma supports $26 pin
🟡Spot 54.8% from MP $18; price discovery risk
🟢VIX 18.44; moderate macro risk

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
High vol as IV elevated vs typical range; VIX 18.44 adds macro uncertainty.
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Gamma pinning at $26 (6/26) with $+163.9M GEX; spot near this level.
Flow Regime
Mixed
Mixed flow; premium neutral but dealer long gamma favors containment.
Spot vs Max Pain
Above
Spot above max pain $18; 54.8% from MP, but near $26 pin.
Thesis duration: Multi-week — Multiple expiry pinning and structural dealer positioning suggest multi-week range.

Price Range Forecast

Next 2 days
$26.65$29.08
2d range support at $26.65; resistance $29.08; pinning at $26.
Next 1 week
$24.67$31.06
Broader range with $24.67 support and $31.06 resistance; $26 pin key.
Next 2 weeks
$23.60$32.13
Wider range $23.6-$32.13; structural levels.

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $18 (2026-06-18); $26 (2026-06-26); $17 (2026-07-02)
EM guardrails: 2d $26.65/$29.08; 1w $24.67/$31.06
Support: $23.60
Resistance: $30.00 · $32.13
Structural: Support $23.6; Resistance $30-$32.13; Max pain pins: $18 (6/18), $26 (6/26), $17 (7/2). EM guardrails 2d $26.65/$29.08.

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+163.9M

DEX: +118.3M shares

Gamma flip: N/A

NTM gamma: GEX +$163.9M, DEX +118.3M shares; strong dealer long gamma, no flip risk.

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV elevated vs VIX 18.44; rich but justified by earnings/events.

Term structure: Front-end elevated; back-month normal; event kinks around 6/26 and 7/2 expiries.

Skew: Skew steep in puts; opportunity to sell put spreads at support $24.67.

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net call premium $9.8M; put vol ratio 1.28, OI ratio 0.37, bearish volume but bullish OI skew.

Directional prints: 92.2 put 23 OTM 2026-07-17 — Vol/OI 31.6; massive put buying, likely bearish hedge or bearish bet. 89.6 put 27 OTM 2026-07-17 — Vol/OI 2.9; heavy put accumulation, bearish sentiment. 95.5 call 31 OTM 2026-09-18 — Vol/OI 2.3; call buying for upside, possibly bullish.

Unusual: 92.2 put 23 OTM 2026-07-17 — Extreme vol/OI 31.6; unusual put activity, potential bearish catalyst. 89.6 put 27 OTM 2026-07-17 — Vol/OI 2.9; notable put accumulation relative to OI. 71.1 put 28.5 ITM 2026-06-18 — Vol/OI 3.1; concentrated put buying.

Risks & Catalysts

!Spot breaks below $24.67 support
!Gamma flip if put OI accumulates
!Macro downturn

Strategy Viability

StrategyEdgeBest SetupPrimary Risk
Bull call spreadModerate-Weak
Buy 2026-07-10 $26.00/$30.00 call spread
Why now: Captures upside with defined risk; aligns with gamma support at $26.
Limited upside if spot stays below 30. Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
Put credit spreadModerate-Weak
Sell 2026-07-10 $24.00/$23.00 put spread
Why now: Harvests premium while delta tail risk from dealer gamma; OTM puts are cheap.
Gap-down risk below 23. Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (62%).

Top Plays

#1
Bull Call Spread 26/30
Buy 2026-07-10 $26.00/$30.00 call spread
Buy $26/$30 call spread; profits if WULF stays above $26 by Jul 10, targeting $30.
Why this play: Best aligns with upside bias to $29-$30, defined risk, supported by dealer gamma at $26.
Debit: $1.74-$2.12
Max loss: $2.12
BE: $28.12
Mgmt: Take profit near $29-$30; stop if spot breaks below $24.67. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_call: Volume below 5.
Traders expecting moderate upside with capped risk.
#2
Put Credit Spread 24/23
Sell 2026-07-10 $24.00/$23.00 put spread
Sell $24/$23 put spread; profits if WULF stays above $24 by Jul 10.
Why this play: High probability premium harvest; dealer gamma supports floor near $24.
Credit: $0.19-$0.23
Max loss: $0.77
BE: $23.77
Mgmt: Close if spot nears $24; invalidation below $23.6. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (62%).
Traders preferring low risk and consistent premium income.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers
IFWULF holds above $26 for one sessionEnter WULF-1: Buy $26/$30 call spread for 1.74–2.12
IFWULF rallies above $28Sell WULF-2: $24/$23 put spread for 0.05–0.10
Exit Triggers
EXITWULF breaks below $24.67Close WULF-1 and consider adjusting WULF-2

Tactical Summary

WULF bullish bias, dealer gamma pins at $26. Range-bound upside to $29-$30. Monitor $24.67 support. Plays: Bull Call Spread 26/30, Put Credit Spread 24/23 (revised credit).
How to Use These Reports
This directional reflects the market close on June 17, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.