base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 62.2% from MP; +1 VIX 16
Term structure: Front-end IV extreme; backwardated to 8d then flat; put skew elevated
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+10.0M)
OI concentrations: Max pain $460 (today), $580, $600. Call wall $800, put floor $400-500. No strong put OI near spot.
#1Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $670.00/$590.00 put spread
Sell $670/$590 put spread, bullish on support
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks 691
#2Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $680.00/$635.00 put wing and $900.00/$950.00 call wing
Sell 680/635 put and 900/950 call wings
Mgmt: Manage if spot approaches wings Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Open interest below 25.; short_call: Open interest below 25.; long_call: Open interest below 25.
#3Call calendar
Sell 2026-08-21 $750.00 call / buy 2026-09-18 $750.00 call
Sell Aug $750 call, buy Sep $750 call
Mgmt: Monitor IV; close early if unfavorable
!Extreme front-month skew
!Spot near resistance $800
!High IV may amplify moves