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STX

Seagate Technology Holdings PLCClose $848.99EOD only
Max Pain
$885.00
Next expiry Oct 9, 2026
Expected Move
±$58.00
6.8% from close
Price Gap
+36.01
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
3
Low premium
P/C OI
1.38
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
5.5/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: Oct 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects STX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Oct 2, 2026 close
STX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 26, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Consensus-supported lens with chain history and key metrics in the rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 not 7 because the theta conflict and mixed flow (net premium positive) reduce alignment; if spot breaks $860 support, conviction would rise to 7.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas converge on bearish outlook: spot 10% below max pain, heavy put flow, negative GEX, and high IV favor downside acceleration.

Where They Diverge

Theta proposes a short put spread (bullish) to harvest premium, directly contradicting the bearish directional and flow signals. However, theta's low confidence (4/10) weakens this conflict.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-07-31 $875/$775 bear put spread for $50 debit — profits from downside with defined risk.

Key Risk

Spot holding above $860 support and recovering toward $900 invalidates the bearish thesis, signaling selling exhaustion and potential short squeeze.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 26, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.