thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $41.30EOD only
Max Pain
$32.50
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.84
2.0% from close
Price Gap
-8.80
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
47
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.77
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 28, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 28, 2026 close
SMCI Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 17, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBullish (Pinning)
Confirmation: Positive GEX (+$126.6M) with pinning gamma; spot above max pain; sizable call prints at 29–37 strikes
Invalidation: Surge in near-dated puts (Apr24 28/29, Apr17 28.5) and large high-IV May15 $70 put; GEX flip or spot sliding below MP
Confidence:
6 / 10
base 5; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 14.2% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Spot vs MP moves; Front-week put volume/OO changes; Net GEX delta and VIX direction; Unusual large-print follow-up

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$299K bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.41

P/C OI ratio: 0.82

Positioning shows pinning bias: dealer positive gamma and call accumulation supportive of spot staying near/above MP, but heavy short-dated put flow and a large tail put could force repricing if spot falls or volatility spikes.

Notable Prints

#1
SMCI 2026-09-18 $37.00 Call
Vol: 601
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 5.8x
IV: 76.1%
Notional: ~$192K
Intent: longer‑dated directional bullish
Dual read: LEAP hedge vs long speculation

Read-through: bullish longer horizon

#2
SMCI 2026-05-22 $29.00 Call
Vol: 738
OI: 151
Vol/OI: 4.9x
IV: 81.3%
Notional: ~$200K
Intent: near‑term upside stake
Dual read: covered call or speculative buy

Read-through: concentrated short‑term call demand

#3
SMCI 2026-05-15 $70.00 Put
Vol: 3,550
OI: 800
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 168.4%
Notional: ~$13.9M
Intent: protective hedge or large directional put
Dual read: portfolio hedge vs binary downside bet

Read-through: signals tail risk pricing

#4
SMCI 2026-04-24 $28.00 Put
Vol: 2,381
OI: 637
Vol/OI: 3.7x
IV: 61.7%
Notional: ~$181K
Intent: near‑term protective buying
Dual read: liquidity capture vs hedge roll

Read-through: short‑term downside focus

#5
SMCI 2026-04-17 $28.50 Put
Vol: 2,140
OI: 676
Vol/OI: 3.2x
IV: 23.0%
Notional: ~$6K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Noticeable long-dated and near-term call buys (≈29–37 strikes, May–Sep) suggesting bullish optionality accumulation.

Put additions: Concentrated short-dated puts clustered ~28–34 (Apr–May) plus a large May block — indicative of protective hedges and short-term downside bets.

GEX/DEX consistency: Net positive GEX (mid-to-high double-digit $M range) and DEX buyflow broadly consistent with call skew; short-dated put flow creates mixed intraday dynamics.

OI clusters: Largest OI around 29–29.5 with heavy put open interest ~28–34; gamma exposure appears to flip below spot (estimated range a few percent to low‑teens % below), subject to model uncertainty.

Hedging evidence: Evidence of collar and put buying (elevated short-dated put IV) alongside longer-dated call accumulation.

Max pain context: Max Pain sits below spot; this raises probabilistic pin risk into near expiries but outcomes depend on flow timing, retail sweeps and IV moves.

Signal vs Noise

~Signal: concentrated short-dated put blocks at ~28–29 with high vol/oi — credible downside hedging/pin risk (probabilistic).
~Signal: net positive GEX/DEX and longer-dated call accumulation imply dealer long‑gamma support on average.
~Noise: isolated tiny-premium or low‑IV prints (e.g., last=0.01) likely retail/sweeps, not sustained institutional directional bets.

Key Conclusions

📌Probabilistic near-term downside risk from concentrated Apr/May puts around 28–29; pinning is possible but not guaranteed and sensitive to intraday flow/IV spikes.
⚖️Institutional posture mixed: dealers generally long gamma from call accumulation but offset by heavy short-dated puts; expiry mix and trade timing will determine short-term direction.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 17, 2026.
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If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.