thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $38.19EOD only
Max Pain
$32.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.15
5.6% from close
Price Gap
-6.19
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 27, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 27, 2026 close
SMCI Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasMixed/Bearish-lean
Confirmation: Sustained put premium or fresh directional put volume that pushes net premium more negative than today's -$13.3M and drives price below $26.00 with follow-through into the $24.77–$26.00 band.
Invalidation: Multiple large call buys or a flip in net premium to >+$10M with price holding above the $28.00–$30.00 cluster (particularly through $28.58 intraday EM bound).
Confidence:
4.5 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 13.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18

Watch next session: Follow-through in call buying at the $28.50/$28.00 strikes (volume and open interest lift on 2026-04-24/05-01 expiries).; Any accumulation of put flow at the $26.00 or $25.50 strikes that converts today's mixed net premium into a clear bearish session.

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$13.3M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.48

P/C OI ratio: 0.82

Net premium is modestly bearish at -$13.3M despite a call-heavy volume footprint (P/C volume 0.48). Put/call OI is 0.82 — not extreme — indicating slightly more structural call OI but today's premium sign skews negative. The dominant theme: dealers are long gamma (GEX +$105.1M) and pinning pressure clusters around the $26.00–$28.00 band, while institutional-sized tail hedges (large expensive puts) and selective call buying near $28.50 suggest mixed positioning — tactical downside protection against a still-elevated IV term structure.

Notable Prints

#1
SMCI260424C00028500
Vol: 10,605
OI: 950
Vol/OI: 11.2x
IV: 70.4%
Notional: ~$827K
Intent: Fresh directional call buying / short-dated speculative upside.
Dual read: Could be an opening directional buy (short-dated upside exposure into the weekly window) or part of a complex spread where the long call funds a larger structure — but volume (10,605) vs OI (950) and notional (~$827,190) point to meaningful new opening activity.

Read-through: Supports short-term gamma-driven pin action into $28.00–$28.50; if follow-through in calls arrives tomorrow it would raise odds of a move toward the $28.58 EM bound and challenge the bearish net premium reading.

#2
SMCI260515P00070000
Vol: 3,550
OI: 800
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 140.6%
Notional: ~$13.9M
Intent: Large directional protective/levered put buys (tail hedging or speculative deep ITM position).
Dual read: Could be a corporate/structured trade or a large institutional hedge given ITM status (strike $70 >> spot) and very high IV; alternative is a mis-routed block or a package leg of a bespoke trade. Volume (3,550) vs OI (800) and huge notional (~$13,862,750) make it economically significant but its 157% moneyness relative to spot argues this is not a vanilla directional hedge on common equity exposure.

Read-through: Creates a large negative premium contribution (seen in top premium flows) and explains part of the -$13.3M net premium; treat as a low-likelihood price mover for spot but a material indicator of risk-off/reinsurance demand among one or a few institutions.

#3
SMCI260424P00009000
Vol: 536
OI: 210
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 256.3%
Notional: ~$5K
Intent: Small speculative or arbitrage put activity far OTM (synthetic/flow noise).
Dual read: Volume (536) vs OI (210) with Last=$0.10 and notional (~$5,360) is tiny economically — could be option arbitrage, ratio trade leg, or pin-avoidance tweak.

Read-through: Low economic significance; ignore for directional read unless paired with significant other put buys at the $20–$26 band.

#4
SMCI260618C00016000
Vol: 565
OI: 365
Vol/OI: 1.6x
IV: 100.6%
Notional: ~$678K
Intent: Long-dated ITM call accumulation (possible employee/structured or long-term bullish exposure).
Dual read: Volume (565) vs OI (365) with Last=$12.00 yields moderate notional (~$678,000) — could be a directional long-call purchase or an unwind leg of a collar/roll. Given strike $16 is deep ITM, the trade reads more like taking/adding long-dated long-delta exposure than a short-gamma sale.

Read-through: Indicative of longer-term bullish positioning or concentrated corporate/structured ownership behavior; not likely to move short-term pinning but increases dealer positive gamma absorption longer-dated.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call activity around $26.00–$28.50 on front-month expiries (notably $26.00 OI=35,275; $27.50 OI=30,455; and large short-dated $28.50 flow). Longer-term call walls reside $30.00–$32.00 (structural call OI $30.00 OI=24,164; $32.00 OI=50,446), suggesting institutional upside interest above $30 as a longer-term target.

Put additions: Significant put OI accumulation at deep protection strikes ($20.00 cluster: multiple expiries with OI 17,525/30,395 etc.), plus large expensive short-dated tail buys (the $70.00 PUT print) which appear to be bespoke hedging or structured flows rather than simple directional retail puts.

GEX/DEX consistency: Flow is broadly consistent with dealer positioning: positive GEX (+$105.1M) implies dealers are long gamma and will pin within the $26–$28 band; DEX +72.7M shares supports delta-heavy dealer exposure. However deterministic net premium (-$13.3M) shows sellers of risk were paid — a tension reflected in the 'Mixed' flow regime.

OI clusters: Largest OI clusters create a near-term magnet between $26.00 and $28.00 (call OI concentration at $26.00=35,275; $27.50=30,455; $27.00=21,087). A structural call wall exists at $30–$32 that could act as resistance if price approaches that range.

Hedging evidence: Yes — clear long-dated protective put interest at lower strikes ($20.00 clusters and significant put OI in multi-month expiries), plus the very large $70.00 put block that reads like bespoke reinsurance. Collar-like structures are plausible given simultaneous call accumulation near $26–28 and put OI deeper (20s and below).

Max pain context: Max pain pins sit lower ($24 / $23 / $24 in the next three expiries). Dealer GEX concentration and call OI cluster between $26–$28 produce a short-term pin near $27.50, while the MP trend across expirations is slowly rising — creating a tug between dealers' gamma pinning (~$27.50) and option sellers' desire to compress value toward the low-20s MP.

Signal vs Noise

~The SMCI260515P00070000 ($70 put) block is economically large but unusually far ITM relative to spot — likely bespoke reinsurance, a structured-product leg, or error; treat it as hedging/reinsurance signal rather than a direct bet on spot dropping to $70.
~SMCI260424P00009000 ($9 put) is tiny notional (~$5,360) and likely part of an arbitrage or ratio structure — not a directional signal.
~Short-dated front-week flows (e.g., heavy volume at 2026-04-24 strikes) may include expiration rolls and gamma scalps; separate those from genuine directional accumulation unless accompanied by sustained OI increases.
~Large long-dated ITM calls (e.g., $16 call 2026-06-18) can reflect structured compensation or long-term exposure rather than near-term bullish conviction.

Key Conclusions

🔁Mixed flow: dealers are long gamma and pinning around $26–$28 while net premium is modestly bearish (-$13.3M), leaving short-term direction ambiguous.
📌Watch the $26.00 and $27.50 GEX/OI clusters — they are the most likely short-term magnets and define the 2–7 day range.
⚠️Treat the large $70 put block as a bespoke hedging/reinsurance signal — it increases background tail-hedge demand but is unlikely to itself push spot inside the expected move band.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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