thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $46.09EOD only
Max Pain
$33.50
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.46
5.3% from close
Price Gap
-12.59
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
99
High premium
P/C OI
0.72
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
SMCI Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral-to-Bullish
Confirmation: Sustained net call premium (net premium flips >+$5M) and follow-through buying that holds spot above $26.00 into next session
Invalidation: Net premium turns more negative (further below -$10M) or spot decisively drops below $24.00 with rising put volume
Confidence:
5 / 10
base 4.5; +0.5 positive GEX pinning and call-volume skew; -0.0 mixed net premium offset; +0.0 market positive (SPY/QQQ)

Watch next session: $26.00 area — fresh call OI / premium flow vs. dealer hedging; Any notable increase in put volume at or below $24.00 (day session) that pushes net premium further negative

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$13.1M bearish (net premium negative today)

P/C volume ratio: 0.50 — call-dominant volume today

P/C OI ratio: 0.83 — modest call OI tilt but not extreme

Volume is call-heavy (P/C vol 0.50) while net premium is negative (-$13.1M) driven by a few large put flows off the tape, producing mixed flow. Dealers are long gamma (GEX +$87.2M) and concentrated GEX at $26/$27.5/25.5 creates pinning pressure near current price, producing a neutral-to-slightly bullish backdrop unless fresh downside premium arrives.

Notable Prints

#1
SMCI 2026-05-15 $70.00 Put
Vol: 3,550
OI: 800
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 187.7%
Notional: ~$13.86M
Intent: Large directional/hedge (heavy put buying or block protective position)
Dual read: Aggressive tail hedge (institution protecting a large long) or structured sale via OTC allocation; could also be a stock-replacement hedge if bundled with equity.

Read-through: This is the single largest premium driver today (explains net premium negative). It's a tail/lottery-sized defensive position that skews headline premium but sits far from spot (170% from spot), so limited near-term pin pressure; watch if similar concentrated ITM/near-ITM puts print nearer-term.

#2
SMCI 2026-09-18 $29.00 Call
Vol: 1,325
OI: 410
Vol/OI: 3.2x
IV: 76.6%
Notional: ~$548k
Intent: Directional bullish long-dated call purchase / speculative position
Dual read: Bought to express upside or sold as part of a call spread/backspread (less likely given vol/oi)

Read-through: Long-dated call demand indicates speculative upside interest around the high-20s; not huge capital but material for tail call flow and consistent with call-dominant intraday volume.

#3
SMCI 2026-09-18 $41.00 Call
Vol: 2,304
OI: 123
Vol/OI: 18.7x
IV: 77.6%
Notional: ~$354k
Intent: Long-dated speculative call buying (lottery-style)
Dual read: Clear buyer interest in upside tail or a reallocation of risk via long-dated structures; existing low OI makes it easy for a single buyer to move the line.

Read-through: High vol/low OI print — more a speculative/tail bet than institutional directional sizing into near-term dealer gamma. Not immediate pin influence.

#4
SMCI 2026-04-17 $28.50 Call
Vol: 1,287
OI: 393
Vol/OI: 3.3x
IV: 67.2%
Notional: ~$16.7k
Intent: Near-term directional call buying (front-month bullish exposure) or roll from nearby strikes
Dual read: Either fresh short-dated bullish call buys or part of spread activity; small notional suggests lightweight tactical bets.

Read-through: Adds short-dated call flow into the April 17 expiration but not large enough to change dealer hedging materially versus the big GEX clusters.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $25.00 - $27.50 short-term call concentration (premium flow positive at $25/$26/$25.50 and large OI at $26.00, $27.50, $27.00); long-dated speculative calls also at $29 and $41

Put additions: Notable large put premium at $70.00 (May 15) driving net negative premium; static OI concentration in puts around $20.00 and $13.00 suggests downside protection exists lower in the capital structure

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — GEX +$87.2M and near-term GEX concentrations (+$21.1M at $26.00; +$12.7M at $27.50; +$10.0M at $25.00) align with pinning behavior and call-skewed intraday flow despite net premium headline negativity

OI clusters: $32.00 call wall (OI 51,030) sits well above spot (resistance beyond 10%); nearest actionable clusters inside ±10%: $26.00 (38,998 OI), $27.50 (30,056 OI), $25.00 (23,093 OI) — these create pin/magnet behavior around mid-25s to 27.5

Hedging evidence: Some protective put positioning exists at $20/$13 strikes (sizey OI), and the large $70 put trade looks like a defensive institutional hedge or structured trade. Little evidence of systematic collaring around spot in the active near-term strikes.

Max pain context: Near-term max pain pins at $24 (4/17) and $23 (4/24) sit slightly below spot; dealers' GEX concentrations at $25-$26 counteract immediate pull to MP and produce pinning higher than MP in the very short run.

Signal vs Noise

~$70.00 May 15 put: large notional and driving net premium but far from spot — likely a tail hedge/OTC block rather than a near-term directional read.
~Long-dated OTM calls (Sep $29/$41): high vol/low OI prints typical of speculative flow; not immediate dealer-gamma drivers.
~High short-dated call volume at 25-26 may include expiration rolls or market-maker delta scalps (check for simultaneous widening of bid/ask and related closing/opening at adjacent expiries).
~Some small front-month prints (e.g., Apr17 $28.50) are low notional and likely tactical/retail-sized — avoid over-reading these in isolation.

Key Conclusions

📌Dealer gamma is positive and concentrated — GEX +$87.2M with pin points at $26.00, $27.50 and $25.00; expect pinning pressure in the mid-25s to 27.5 range.
🐂Intraday flow is call-dominant (P/C vol 0.50) and short-dated call OI is heavy at $26/$25.5 — supportive for holding current levels barring new put flows.
⚠️Net premium is negative (-$13.1M) due to a single large $70 put trade — this skews the premium picture; treat the headline net premium with caution.
🧭Key near-term support cluster: $26.00 / $25.50 / $25.00 (dealer hedging + GEX); resistance cluster inside ±10%: $27.00 / $27.50 / $28.00 (call supply and GEX friction).
👀Watch for renewed put buying near $24 or below — that would invalidate the current neutral-to-bullish flow and could force dealers to sell into weakness.
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This flow reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
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