thetaOwl

SMCI

Super Micro Computer, Inc.Close $37.10EOD only
Max Pain
$31.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.61
7.0% from close
Price Gap
-6.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
0.80
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects SMCI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
SMCI Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral-to-Bearish
Confirmation: Continuation of net negative premium (puts dominating) >$10M with additional near-term put buys around $23-$22 and spot sliding toward $22
Invalidation: Net premium flips materially positive (>+$10M) driven by concentrated call buys at $23.5-$26 and spot holds/prints above $25 with GEX still pinning higher
Confidence:
4 / 10
base 4.0/10 (provided): +1 pinning GEX concentration; -1 mixed flow / large net put premium; -1 spot 6.2% from MP

Watch next session: Follow additional activity in $23.50-$24.00 strikes (gamma concentration at +$31.7M and +$24.7M); New large put premium or block buys in the $20-$23 band (would push bias more bearish)

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$20.4M bearish skew (net premium to puts)

P/C volume ratio: 0.72 — modest call bias by volume

P/C OI ratio: 0.81 — moderate call OI lean but not extreme

Flow is mixed: volume-based P/C (0.72) shows call activity, but net premium is strongly negative (-$20.4M) driven by large put premium pockets (notably the $70 put and several near-term/near-spot put buys). Dealers show positive GEX (+$89.0M) producing pinning behavior around $23.50-$24.00 even as institutions add downside protection via puts and selectively buy calls at $25-$26 strikes.

Notable Prints

#1
SMCI 2026-05-15 $70.00 Put
Vol: 3,550
OI: 800
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 192.0%
Notional: ~$13.9M (Top Premium shows Net -$17,800,942 premium)
Intent: Large institutional tail hedge or systematic portfolio protection (buying deep-tail puts)
Dual read: Tail-hedge (bearish protection) OR long-dated speculative put position; less likely dealer sell since net premium indicates heavy put demand

Read-through: Significant risk-hedging demand: big premium outflow to puts signals institutional caution despite pinning gamma — not a simple directional short sale.

#2
SMCI 2026-04-10 $23.50 Put
Vol: 1,170
OI: 267
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 83.6%
Notional: ~$0.075M
Intent: Near-term protective put buying (short-dated hedges ahead of Apr 10 expiry)
Dual read: Protective (institutional/flow hedges) OR aggressive short-term directional put purchases

Read-through: Near-term downside protection concentrated right around spot; supports a cautious stance into immediate expiries even as dealers are gamma-short/pinning.

#3
SMCI 2026-05-15 $26.00 Call
Vol: 3,088
OI: 963
Vol/OI: 3.2x
IV: 85.4%
Notional: ~$0.49M (last=$1.60)
Intent: Directional call accumulation (bullish exposure) or call spread leg
Dual read: Fresh directional bullish buying OR part of a call conversion/collar construction

Read-through: Institutions are also allocating to upside exposure around $26 while buying downside insurance — supports mixed positioning rather than outright one-sided.

#4
SMCI 2026-06-18 $26.00 Call
Vol: 3,762
OI: 2,174
Vol/OI: 1.7x
IV: 84.0%
Notional: ~$0.91M (last=$2.43)
Intent: Long-dated call accumulation (bullish or part of spread structures)
Dual read: Directional bullish or paired with long-dated downside hedges (collars)

Read-through: Adds to evidence of selective upside exposure at $26 while risk is also being hedged — consistent with mixed institutional positioning.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated call OI and flow in the $25.00-$26.00 area (Top OI: $25.00 OI=40,783; near-term premium flow shows net positive at $26.00 and $25.00). Several multi-expiry call buys around $26 indicate selective upside exposure.

Put additions: Notable put premium demand: giant $70 put buys (net premium -$17.8M), near-term $23.50 Apr10 puts, and put flow at $20.00 and $22.00 strikes. Net premium -$20.4M signals overall put buying pressure despite call volume.

GEX/DEX consistency: Partially consistent — positive GEX (+$89.0M) creates pinning pressure around $23.50-$24.00 while institutional flow shows both protective put buying and selective call accumulation, producing the mixed flow regime noted.

OI clusters: Major call OI clusters at $25.00 (40,783), $23.50 (33,900), $24.00 (27,711) — these create short-term pin/resistance bands; largest put OI clusters sit at $20.00 (30,490 total across expiries) and $13.00 (24,413), which form a structural put floor deeper below spot.

Hedging evidence: Clear hedging: large, long-dated tail puts ($70), concentrated near-term protective puts ($23.50 Apr10), and modest put activity at $22.00-$20.00. Minimal evidence of full collar blocks, but mixed call buys plus put purchases imply hedged directional exposure.

Max pain context: Max pain pins near-term at $22 (Apr10) and $23 (Apr17) align with dealer GEX concentration; MP trend rising (to $25 over longer expiries) suggests dealers/institutions collectively skew strike pain higher into later expiries.

Signal vs Noise

~$70.00 May15 put: large, long-dated tail hedges — important for hedging stance but not an immediate directional signal for front-month price moves.
~Apr10 $23.50 put block: likely near-term protective buys/expiration hedging rather than a macro new-short signal.
~Large OI call walls at $25-$32 are structural (dealer inventory) and often represent gamma walls or resistance rather than fresh directional conviction.
~Some vol in far-OTM small strikes (e.g., $4.00 call) shows extreme IV and likely reflects illiquid structured trades or mispriced blocks—treat as noise unless followed up.

Key Conclusions

🔁Flow is mixed: call-volume activity exists, but net premium (-$20.4M) and large put buys point to active downside hedging.
📌Dealers/GEX are pinning around $23.50-$24.00 (GEX +$31.7M at $23.50 and +$24.7M at $24.00) creating a short-term magnet even while institutions buy protection.
🛡️Big long-dated tail put activity (May $70) signals institutional risk-off/portfolio protection — important for positioning but likely not immediate front-month price driver.
🧭Key levels to watch within ±10%: Support = ["$23.00","$22.00","$21.15"] from max pain and put/GEX concentrations; Resistance = ["$24.00","$25.00","$25.50"] from call OI walls and EM guardrails.
👀If near-term put flow (around $22-$23) accelerates and spot slips toward $22, expect dealers to hedge and volatility to rise; conversely, concentrated call buying at $25-$26 that lifts net premium would invalidate the protective-put narrative.
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This flow reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
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