ThetaOwl

SMCI Flow Report

Analysis based on market close April 6, 2026

Flow Verdict

BiasMixed
Confirmation: Net premium flips positive with sustained call flow above $24
Invalidation: Spot breaks below $20 gamma flip with put flow acceleration
Confidence:
6 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.2% from MP

Watch next session: $24.00C OI buildup (21,872 OI); Put flow at $20.00 (30,492 OI)

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$26.6M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.83 — moderate put lean

P/C OI ratio: 0.79 — moderate call lean

Mixed signals with bearish net premium flow but call-dominant open interest. The market is pinned near max pain with positive gamma creating a tug-of-war between flow and positioning.

Notable Prints

#1
SMCI 2027-03-19 $10.00 Put
Vol: 10,021
OI: 175
Vol/OI: 57.3x
IV: 103.6%
Notional: ~$1.55M
Intent: Long-term protective hedge or speculative downside bet
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: Significant notional for a deep OTM put suggests institutional hedging against extreme downside

#2
SMCI 2026-04-10 $22.50 Put
Vol: 2,963
OI: 489
Vol/OI: 6.1x
IV: 77.1%
Notional: ~$2.87M
Intent: Near-term directional put buying or hedge
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: ITM put with high volume suggests bearish positioning as spot trades at $22.05

#3
SMCI 2026-04-17 $19.00 Put
Vol: 10,166
OI: 2,827
Vol/OI: 3.6x
IV: 90.4%
Notional: ~$2.95M
Intent: Protective put buying or speculative downside bet
Dual read: Bought (bearish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: High volume OTM put adds to bearish flow narrative

#4
SMCI 2026-05-15 $70.00 Put
Vol: 3,550
OI: 800
Vol/OI: 4.4x
IV: 259.7%
Notional: ~$138.6M
Intent: Extreme hedge or structured trade leg
Dual read: Likely part of a complex spread given extreme IV and deep ITM nature

Read-through: Massive notional but likely noise due to extreme moneyness and IV

#5
SMCI 2026-04-24 $24.00 Call
Vol: 2,729
OI: 998
Vol/OI: 2.7x
IV: 81.1%
Notional: ~$2.05M
Intent: Directional call buying targeting upside breakout
Dual read: Bought (bullish) or sold/overwritten (neutral)

Read-through: Contrasts with put flow, showing bullish interest at key resistance

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: $23.50-$25.00 calls in near-term expirations (32,640-36,649 OI clusters)

Put additions: Protective $20.00 puts (30,492 OI) and long-term $10.00 puts (10,021 volume)

GEX/DEX consistency: No — positive GEX (+$31.1M) contradicts bearish net premium flow (-$26.6M)

OI clusters: $25.00 call wall (36,649 OI), $23.50 call cluster (32,640 OI), $20.00 put floor (30,492 OI)

Hedging evidence: Yes — deep OTM puts ($10.00, $18.00) with high volume suggest institutional downside protection

Max pain context: Spot at $22.05 pinned between max pain $22.00 (4/10) and $24.00 (4/17), creating compression

Signal vs Noise

~$70.00 put (5/15) likely structured trade leg given extreme IV (259.7%) and deep ITM nature
~$1.00 call net premium (+$1.46M) is noise due to extreme OTM strike
~$880.00 put net premium (-$639,860) is noise due to unrealistic strike far from spot

Key Conclusions

⚖️Mixed flow with bearish premium but call-dominant OI and positive GEX pinning
📌Spot pinned near max pain $22.00 with gamma support at $20.00
🛡️Institutional hedging evident via deep OTM puts ($10.00, $18.00)

Read the Flow analysis for SMCI for 2026-04-06. This AI-generated report covers regime classification, key price levels, strategy recommendations, and actionable trade ideas drawn from end-of-day options data including gamma exposure, delta exposure, and implied volatility.