base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.0% from MP; +1 VIX 18
Term structure: Short-term IV spikes (>50%) with a hump peaking at 9-day. Put skew near-term, call skew longer-term.
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+371.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$70.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 62,226 (11.8% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put OI floor at $70 (62k contracts, 11.8% below spot), call OI wall at $100-$105.
#1Short strangle
Sell 2026-06-05 $71.50 put + sell $92.00 call
Sells out-of-the-money put and call to collect elevated premium.
Mgmt: Monitor spot near $70 or $92; adjust if gamma flips.
#2Call credit spread
Sell 2026-06-05 $92.00/$105.00 call spread
Sells call spread using elevated IV, limited risk.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks above $80 invalidation level.
#3Put diagonal
Sell 2026-06-05 $71.50 put / buy 2026-07-17 $72.50 put
Sells near-term put, buys later put for calendar theta.
Mgmt: Roll if spot approaches $73.5; monitor slippage. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Volume below 5.
!Spot 8% above max pain ($74) – potential mean reversion
!Gamma flip level at $70 – if broken, may accelerate selling
!Put skew near-term for first two expiries