thetaOwl

QQQ

Invesco QQQ TrustClose $640.47EOD only
Max Pain
$604.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.49
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-36.47
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.51
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects QQQ options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
QQQ AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because persona alignment on dealer-driven pinning is strong but conviction is capped by recurring large-block flow risk and the potential for swift IV expansion that can invalidate short-premium structures.

Where Perspectives Agree

Dealer short-gamma creates a bullish pin in the mid/upper strike range—delta hedges absorb routine selling and make contained upside more likely near-term.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows episodes of concentrated institutional buying that could overwhelm dealer hedges and produce a breakout, directly contradicting the pinning regime; theta favors selling premium into pinning but also warns that any rapid IV spike would punish short premium trades.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 $635/$613 put spread for roughly $1.20 credit (theta play).

Key Risk

A break below $613 on heavy (~20M+ share-equivalent) aggressive selling flips dealer gamma exposure, forces dealer unwind and accelerates downside toward ~$585, invalidating the pin and short-premium stance.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for QQQ for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.