thetaOwl

QQQ

Invesco QQQ TrustClose $628.60EOD only
Max Pain
$608.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.05
0.3% from close
Price Gap
-20.60
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.47
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects QQQ options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
QQQ AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, GEX and concentrated call flow create a credible short-term magnet into 629–630, but conviction is capped by two material underminers: the multi-week max-pain drift toward ~600 and the potential for a flow reversal/unusual block prints to unwind dealer gamma quickly. That keeps conviction above neutral but well short of high since the path is fragile.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus view: short-term pin into the 629–630 area with dealer short-gamma and concentrated call positioning creating an upside magnet and a theta-rich environment that favors defined-risk bearish premium sales below that magnet or bullish defined-risk put spreads to ride the pin.

Where They Diverge

Primary conflict: directional’s bullish pin and recommendation to sell puts/construct bullish diagonals conflicts with the theta persona’s emphasis on aggressive premium-selling (calls and iron condors) expecting mean reversion toward ~$600—those two approaches expect opposite realized path and risk-management (directional wants upside pin retention; theta wants range-bound stability and IV compression). Secondary friction: flow signals (large one-offs or institutional blocks) could either reinforce the pin or, if they reverse, immediately negate the dealer-gamma support — so flow’s short-term prints can directly overturn both directional and theta plans.

Top Trade
via directional

Sell 2026-05-01 600/590 put spread for a net credit (directional bearish-to-neutral bull put spread into the pin).

Key Risk

A daily close and sustained break below $570 (dealer gamma flip trigger) — this would remove the pin, provoke dealer unwind and stop-loss cascade, and accelerate downside toward $550, invalidating the short-term bullish pin and any short-put exposures.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for QQQ for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.