thetaOwl

NVDA

NVIDIA CorporationClose $210.69EOD only
Max Pain
$205.00
Next expiry Jun 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.39
2.1% from close
Price Gap
-5.69
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.88
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NVDA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
NVDA Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Premium Selling
Invalidation: Spot breaks gamma flip at $200 or resistance at $220
Confidence:
9 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.6% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
Elevated relative to VIX (44.7% vs 17.3%)
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Front-end steep with put skew; 0 DTE put IV 65.7% vs call 42.5%; term structure normalizes after 4 days

⚠️0 DTE put IV at 65.7% signals elevated hedging cost

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+383.8M)

Gamma flip: ~$200.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 104,471 (4.1% below spot)

OI concentrations: Max pain at $208; put OI concentrated at $180-$185; call OI wall $220-$300

Verdict: Moderate pin risk at $208 due to max pain and dealer gamma pinning

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $200.00/$195.00 put spread
Sell put spread to collect premium with defined risk.
Credit: $1.15-$1.40
Max loss: $3.60
BE: $198.60
Mgmt: Close at 50% profit or if underlying breaks $207.5.
#2
Short strangle
Sell 2026-07-17 $195.00 put + sell $215.00 call
Sell OTM put and call to capture premium decay.
Credit: $7.00-$8.55
Max loss: Unlimited
BE: 186.45 / 223.55
Mgmt: Adjust if IV spikes or break of range.

Risk Alerts

!Gamma flip at $200
!Volatility event on 0 DTE
!Put skew extreme
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.