thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $72.88EOD only
Max Pain
$80.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.46
3.4% from close
Price Gap
+7.12
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
16
Low premium
P/C OI
0.83
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 22, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 22, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 23, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 not 7 because despite 4 bearish personas, theta and earnings disagree on trade structure (sell vs buy premium), reducing signal alignment. If earnings suggested only buying puts, conviction would be 8.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bearish bias with dealer short-gamma amplifying moves; heavy deep OTM put buying and high VIX favor puts over calls; key support at $68.75.

Where They Diverge

Theta advises against selling premium due to high IV and earnings risk, while earnings suggests selling a strangle (short premium) — direct strategy conflict. Also flow shows mixed call vol at $74, tempering pure bearish conviction.

Top Trade
via earnings

Buy 2026-07-17 $70 put for market debit — positioned for earnings downside with defined risk.

Key Risk

Break above $76 resistance reverses dealer short-gamma and invalidates bearish thesis — upside accelerates to $80+.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 23, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.