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NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $86.02EOD only
Max Pain
$87.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.79
3.2% from close
Price Gap
+0.98
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
33
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.78
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
NFLX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because multiple independent signals (GEX pin, institutional flow, and call-heavy premium) align on a near-term magnet, but conviction is capped by an imminent high-IV earnings print that can produce either a violent gap away (invalidating pin) or an IV crush that upends premium-selling returns; that binary materially reduces actionable confidence.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus leans toward a short-term bullish pin into the $110–$112 area supported by concentrated call positioning and dealer gamma — positioning and flow favor staying above that guardrail into/through earnings but with event risk.

Where They Diverge

Theta wants to monetize rich short-dated premium (sell pre-earnings) while the earnings persona and directional view flag a high-probability binary (tomorrow) that can invalidate any short-premium stance; separately, flow shows multi-week call accumulation which supports a post-earnings continuation, but the earnings term structure and crushing IV dynamics imply the market could instead reset lower after the print — those two outcomes directly oppose each other.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr24 115/119 call spread for credit (defined-risk, expires post-earnings)

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $108.00 would flip dealer gamma exposure (remove the pin), trigger rapid hedge unwind and stop cascades, and likely accelerate price toward the $100 area — this outcome invalidates the bullish pin/short-premium thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.