thetaOwl

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.Close $77.38EOD only
Max Pain
$80.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.60
3.4% from close
Price Gap
+2.62
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.75
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects NFLX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
NFLX Flow Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Put volume ratio above 0.70 and spot below gamma flip $75
Invalidation: Price closes above $85 or call volume ratio exceeds 0.75
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; -1 spot 5.6% from MP; +1 VIX 16

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$63.6M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.65

P/C OI ratio: 0.75

Net premium negative ($-63.6M) and negative gamma ($-95.5M) signal dealer short gamma. Heavy put OI at $105-$110 and spot below max pain (approx $77) suggest bearish sentiment. Despite call volume, high VIX and put skew reinforce downside bias.

Notable Prints

#1
NFLX 2026-07-17 $45.00 Put
Vol: 6,133
OI: 106
Vol/OI: 57.9x
IV: 75.8%
Notional: ~$12K
Intent: Speculative tail risk hedge
Dual read: Selling puts for premium

Read-through: Fear of extreme downside

#2
NFLX 2026-06-18 $77.00 Call
Vol: 16,051
OI: 1,278
Vol/OI: 12.6x
IV: 13.7%
Notional: ~$594K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#3
NFLX 2026-07-02 $98.00 Call
Vol: 897
OI: 149
Vol/OI: 6.0x
IV: 54.3%
Notional: ~$4K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#4
NFLX 2026-07-24 $77.00 Put
Vol: 1,108
OI: 204
Vol/OI: 5.4x
IV: 40.7%
Notional: ~$423K
Intent: Unclear flow intent

Read-through: Needs contextual interpretation.

#5
NFLX 2026-06-18 $110.00 Put
Vol: 5,570
OI: 1,134
Vol/OI: 4.9x
IV: 484.8%
Notional: ~$18.2M
Intent: Hedge for long stock position
Dual read: Opening OTM puts

Read-through: Expects minimal downside, protecting gains

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Calls at $77-79 strikes across June-August expiries, led by $78 call (28k vol, 6.6k OI) and $77 call (16k vol).

Put additions: OTM puts at $45, $110, $105, $106 strikes, plus $77 put at July 24 - tail hedging and downside protection.

GEX/DEX consistency: Negative GEX (-$95.5M) and positive DEX (+133M shares) indicate short gamma but long delta, consistent with call buying and put hedging.

OI clusters: Largest put OI at $75 (72,669 contracts), 3.1% below spot; largest call OI at $78 (6,627 contracts). Max pain likely near $76-77.

Hedging evidence: Far OTM put prints (e.g., $45 put 6,133 vol) and high IV puts at $105-110 suggest institutional tail hedging.

Max pain context: Spot below max pain, suggesting pinning pressure upward toward $78-80. Gamma flip at $75 indicates key support.

Signal vs Noise

~High vol/oi put at $45 (57.9 ratio) is tail hedge signal
~Large $78 call printing (28k vol, 6.6k OI) signals bullish positioning
~Cheap $77 call (16k vol, IV 13.7%) is bullish bet
~Far OTM puts at $105-110 with +400% IV are noise or tail hedges
~Small $98 call (897 vol) likely noise

Key Conclusions

📈Institutions are accumulating calls at $78-79, suggesting upside conviction.
🛡️Massive $45 put purchase (6k vol) indicates hedge against tail risk.
⚖️Spot below max pain, with gamma flip at $75 providing support.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.