thetaOwl

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.Close $426.56EOD only
Max Pain
$390.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$26.45
6.2% from close
Price Gap
-36.56
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
24
Low premium
P/C OI
1.14
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MU options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
MU Theta Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness8 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Sell defined-risk put spreads and covered calls (income bias), avoid naked puts deep below the put floor
Invalidation: Sustained close below $415 (near-term GEX pin at $415) or break below $400 Max Pain would force defensive posture; ultimate structural invalidation below gamma flip ~$300
Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned (Pinning, GEX +$49.7M); +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 9.4% above MP; +0.5 VIX 19.12

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
Avg IV 77.6% vs VIX 19.12 — vol is extremely rich vs market vols
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Term structure elevated across expirations (ATM 66.3% @4d → ~71% around 18d, then gently slopes ~68-69% out); opportunity window in 30-45 DTE (ATM ~69%)

💰Avg IV 77.6% is very rich vs VIX 19.12 — strong tailwind for premium sellers
📆Sweet spot: 30-45 DTE (ATM ~69%) — balance of time decay and defined-risk sizing

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Spot $426.56 is Above Max Pain (~$390) — distance ~+9.4% from nearest MP

GEX regime: Pinning (GEX +$49.7M) — dealer hedging is net short gamma and will buy/sell to pin

Gamma flip: ~$300.00Gamma flip ~300 — below that price dealers move from pinning to amplifying moves; keeps short-gamma positions safer above that level

OI concentrations: Heavy call OI wall $450-$500 (call OI peaks at $450: 15,192 OI; $500: 14,306 OI); concentrated puts at $300 (17,536 OI), $250 (16,768 OI) and put cluster around $400 (15,924 OI). Near-term GEX pin magnets: +$5.9M @450, +$4.9M @415, +$2.5M @430, +$1.6M @425.

Verdict: Favorable — strong pinning (positive GEX) and bullish flow create a supportive environment for selling premium, especially credit spreads and covered calls; watch downside if price moves toward MP (~$390) or below $415 GEX cluster

Premium Opportunities

#1
put spread
Sell 415/405 put spread exp 2026-05-15 (32 DTE)
Defined-risk bearish-to-neutral income trade. 415 short put sits at a near-term GEX/flow pivot (large call flow at 415/420 and GEX +4.9M at 415). High IV (ATM ~69%) lifts premium; pinning regime reduces likelihood of a quick drop to the 405 wing if dealers remain net-buying into weakness.
Credit: $3.00-$4.25
Max loss: $6.00
BE: $411.50
Mgmt: Take profits at 50-65% of max credit; roll down 1 strike / out 1 expiry if MU closes <415 on daily close; cut loss (buy back) if MU trades below 405 (short wing) or if position hits 80% of max loss.
#2
covered call
Buy 100 shares, sell 450 call exp 2026-05-15 (32 DTE)
Bullish flow + pinning supports owning MU while collecting rich call premium (450 calls show significant OI and GEX pin at 450). This creates upside cover while generating yield; ideal if you already want long stock exposure or want assignment at ~450.
Credit: $11.00-$13.00
Max loss: stock minus premium (variable)
BE: stock basis - credit (e.g., $426.56 - credit)
Mgmt: Close covered-call leg at 65% of max premium captured if call drops in value; if MU rallies toward 450, consider rolling call up+out to collect more premium. If MU breaks below $415 on close, tighten stop on stock or buy back call to avoid holding into a rapid downside move.
#3
iron condor
Sell 420/430 call spread and 385/375 put spread exp 2026-05-15 (32 DTE)
Neutral-range defined-risk trade that sells rich premium on both sides while respecting major OI/pin levels. Short call spread sits under big call walls (430/450) and short put spread sits above concentrated put clusters; high IV and pinning skew reduces realized movement through the wings short-term.
Credit: $5.25-$7.00
Max loss: $4.75
BE: upper ~435.25 / lower ~379.75 (approx; depends on net credit)
Mgmt: Take profits at 50% of max credit; if MU tests either short strike (420 or 385) consider rolling that side 2-3 strikes and/or out 1 expiry. Close if either short strike is decisively breached on daily close and show of momentum.
#4
cash-secured put
Sell 425 put exp 2026-05-15 (32 DTE)
High IV and bullish flow; 425 put has strong premium (near-spot) and sits at a GEX small magnet (-0.4% from spot GEX listed at $425). Use only if willing to own MU at net basis ~breakeven. Preference is defined-risk put spreads over naked puts, but this is acceptable if fully cash-secured and you want stock entry.
Credit: $18.00-$21.00
Max loss: Unlimited down to zero (cash secured by holding capital) — effective max loss = strike - premium received
BE: $407.50
Mgmt: Close at 50-65% of premium captured; if MU drops to 415 close or roll down to 405/395 (defined-risk) rather than hold naked put; avoid assignment if unwilling to own at that basis.

Risk Alerts

!Max Pain range centered ~ $390-$400 — sustained weakness toward these levels would threaten short credit positions (MP: $390 on 4/17, $400 on 4/24).
!Gamma flip at ~$300 — if price declines toward this level dealers shift to amplifying moves; large downside path risk below that point.
!Concentrated call flow and GEX at $415 and $450 — while supportive for pinning, it also creates pin-risk/assignment risk for covered calls if price pins at those strikes into expiry.
!Large institutional net call flow at $420/$450 (Top Premium Flow) — directional call buying could fuel rallies and compress IV, changing wing risk profiles; watch for fast rallies that hurt put spreads.
!Unusual activity: heavy outflow/flow at 412.50/417.50 strikes for 4/17 suggests concentrated positioning near spot into near-term expiry — avoid selling naked through that near-term expiry if you cannot manage pin/assignment risk.

Read the Theta analysis for MU for 2026-04-13. Each report is a market-close snapshot with regime read, key levels, and strategy context that translates options positioning into an actionable setup.