thetaOwl

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.Close $465.66EOD only
Max Pain
$395.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$27.02
5.8% from close
Price Gap
-70.66
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
50
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.14
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects MU options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
MU AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, positive GEX and heavy call flow align to support a bullish pin in the near-term, but conviction is tempered by clustered expiries/earnings and a clearly defined gamma flip level (~$395–$400) that could erase the thesis quickly; therefore signals are meaningful but not high-certainty.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned in a bullish near-term range with dealer short-gamma amplifying moves toward the $480–$500 call-cluster; that environment favours defined-risk, premium-selling structures that collect rich short-dated credit while keeping upside participation limited.

Where They Diverge

The dominant bullish pin is directly threatened by event and structural magnets: concentrated OI/max-pain around $395–$400 and an upcoming binary calendar (earnings/expiration clusters) create a credible path that would flip dealer hedging and force selling — this directly contradicts any high-confidence directional rally thesis. Separately, elevated event IV and term-structure front-loading undermine aggressive short-theta positions because realized event outcomes can produce outsized gap risk that neutralizes premium advantages.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 450/440 put spread for credit (defined-risk, short-dated); expected credit ~mid-single-digit dollars per contract.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $395–$400 on elevated volume (expiration/earnings-triggered gap) flips dealer gamma to procyclical selling, collapses the pin, and accelerates downside toward the next structural support near $360–$365 — this scenario would invalidate the bullish/premium-selling thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for MU for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.