Expected Move — MRNA
Data as of market close Apr 2, 2026
MRNA Expected Move Data
- Nearest Expiry
- 2026-04-10
- Expected Move
- ±8.3%
- Expected Range
- $45.09–$53.31
- Days to Expiry
- 8
- ATM Strike
- $49.00
- Spot Price
- $49.20
Expected Move by Expiration (spot: $49.20)
Expected Move by Expiration
| Expiration | DTE | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 8 | $49.00 | ±$4.11 | ±8.3% | $45.09 | $53.31 |
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | $49.00 | ±$5.71 | ±11.6% | $43.49 | $54.92 |
| 2026-04-24 | 22 | $49.00 | ±$6.58 | ±13.4% | $42.63 | $55.78 |
| 2026-05-01 | 29 | $49.00 | ±$9.40 | ±19.1% | $39.80 | $58.60 |
| 2026-05-08 | 36 | $50.00 | ±$4.97 | ±10.1% | $44.23 | $54.18 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | $49.00 | ±$10.30 | ±20.9% | $38.90 | $59.50 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | $49.00 | ±$13.25 | ±26.9% | $35.95 | $62.45 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | $49.00 | ±$15.70 | ±31.9% | $33.50 | $64.90 |
| 2026-08-21 | 141 | $49.00 | ±$18.80 | ±38.2% | $30.40 | $68.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | $49.00 | ±$20.75 | ±42.2% | $28.45 | $69.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | $49.00 | ±$22.20 | ±45.1% | $27.00 | $71.40 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | $50.00 | ±$24.92 | ±50.7% | $24.28 | $74.13 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | $50.00 | ±$26.27 | ±53.4% | $22.93 | $75.48 |
| Expiration | Days to Expiry | ATM Strike | Expected Move | Move % | Lower Bound | Upper Bound |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | 8 | 49 | 4.11 | 8.35 | 45.09 | 53.31 |
| 2026-04-17 | 15 | 49 | 5.71 | 11.62 | 43.49 | 54.92 |
| 2026-04-24 | 22 | 49 | 6.58 | 13.36 | 42.63 | 55.78 |
| 2026-05-01 | 29 | 49 | 9.4 | 19.11 | 39.8 | 58.6 |
| 2026-05-08 | 36 | 50 | 4.97 | 10.11 | 44.23 | 54.18 |
| 2026-05-15 | 43 | 49 | 10.3 | 20.93 | 38.9 | 59.5 |
| 2026-06-18 | 77 | 49 | 13.25 | 26.93 | 35.95 | 62.45 |
| 2026-07-17 | 106 | 49 | 15.7 | 31.91 | 33.5 | 64.9 |
| 2026-08-21 | 141 | 49 | 18.8 | 38.21 | 30.4 | 68 |
| 2026-09-18 | 169 | 49 | 20.75 | 42.17 | 28.45 | 69.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | 197 | 49 | 22.2 | 45.12 | 27 | 71.4 |
| 2026-12-18 | 260 | 50 | 24.92 | 50.66 | 24.28 | 74.13 |
| 2027-01-15 | 288 | 50 | 26.27 | 53.4 | 22.93 | 75.48 |
Check the expected price move for MRNA by expiration date, derived from options pricing. Compare implied moves across timeframes to gauge how much the market expects the stock to move.