thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $676.87EOD only
Max Pain
$610.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.42
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-66.87
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because dealer-gamma and concentrated put positioning give high short-term probability of a pin, but elevated vol, concentrated OI and event/unwind risk materially reduce multi-day conviction and cap size/tenor of trades.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-dated pin to the mid-$640s is the dominant thesis: dealer positive gamma and concentrated short-dated puts should keep spot pinned near that level in the next 48–72 hours with a bullish grind back toward $700 if positioning holds.

Where They Diverge

Potential conflict arises between premium sellers and flow/earnings signals: theta favors selling short-dated put premium into the pin, but flow/earnings (event) risks and concentrated OI create a credible unilateral downside tail that would invalidate short-put selling and force rapid dealer re-hedging; those two views directly undermine each other if an unwind starts.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 1 $660/$615 put spread for ~credit (defined-risk bull put spread)

Key Risk

Break and hold below $615 within 48 hours (puts unwind/flip in dealer hedges) — removes the pin and accelerates downside toward ~$580 gap-support, invalidating the bullish/pinning thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for META for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.