thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $671.58EOD only
Max Pain
$605.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$7.08
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-66.58
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
84
High premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because near-term positioning and dealer gamma create a credible magnet to the 680 area, but conviction is capped by an imminent earnings event (14 days) that can reprice term structure and flip dealer hedging dynamics, plus an underlying longer-term put floor that limits sustained upside.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin toward ~680 driven by heavy call positioning and dealer gamma amplification; the market is biased to the upside into the immediate expiries with front-week premium-rich structures favored.

Where They Diverge

Earnings in 14 days and the term-structure around that event create a binary that can directly negate the pin: a priced post-earnings reversion or IV inversion would force dealers to unwind call-centric hedges and can produce a post-event fade despite current bullish flow. Similarly, the presence of a lower max-pain/structural put floor (500-600) is incompatible with an uninterrupted multi-week rally — a material flow reversal would blow past the short-term pin.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-17 $665/$655 put spread for credit (front-week defined-risk bullish).

Key Risk

Close below $645 (sustained through a daily close) that forces dealers to flip gamma exposure — consequence: immediate loss of the pin, accelerated downside toward $615 with follow-through to the structural 580/500 ladder if momentum persists.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for META for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.