thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $662.49EOD only
Max Pain
$617.50
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.55
0.7% from close
Price Gap
-44.99
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
76
High premium
P/C OI
0.47
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because short-term alignment (GEX + flow + theta) gives a tradable edge into the upcoming expiries, but material cross-currents — falling max-pain, clustered expiries/earnings and the non-trivial chance of a multi-day break — reduce reliability; strong but conditional, not durable.

Where Perspectives Agree

Short-term bullish pin around $660–$667 driven by dealer short-gamma and net bullish flow — positioning and GEX make selling premium into the magnet the dominant edge over the next few sessions.

Where They Diverge

The longer-term max-pain drift and concentrated put blocks below $600 directly contradict sustained bullish continuation; additionally, earnings/term-structure signals (front-loaded IV and post-event skew) imply a post-earnings fade risk that can overturn the pin — these three views create an outcomes split where short-premium wins only if the pin survives near-term expiries and earnings, otherwise downside momentum dominates.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-01 650/640 put spread for credit (bull put spread) — expected credit roughly $3.00–$5.00 depending on fills.

Key Risk

A two-day close below $650 (sustained break and daily close under $650) will force dealer de-risking/GEX unwind, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the $600 area within subsequent sessions — this scenario invalidates the short-premium thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for META for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.