thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $632.51EOD only
Max Pain
$615.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.08
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-17.51
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
55
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.45
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because dealer pinning, positive flow and a low-vol backdrop align in the near term — but conviction is capped by an upcoming earnings binary and the documented downside acceleration level; either can swiftly invalidate short-premium bets, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned near $635 with dealer short-gamma creating a bullish magnet that supports range-bound upside and makes short-premium/defined-risk income the highest-probability path to profit over the next 1–3 weeks.

Where They Diverge

The earnings persona views the 4/29 event as a potential binary that favors long-vol or event-straddle positioning into the print, which directly undermines the theta-led recommendation to run short premium through that window; additionally, if flow shows concentrated institutional accumulation skewed to the downside post-earnings, that would contradict the directional pin thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-20 625/615 put spread for credit (theta strategy) — defined-risk short put spread into the pin, collects premium ahead of earnings.

Key Risk

A daily close below $622.88 removes dealer short-gamma support and triggers accelerated downside — immediate drop toward $620 and then $600 gap-fill, which invalidates the short-premium/pinning thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.