thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $634.53EOD only
Max Pain
$605.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.65
1.8% from close
Price Gap
-29.53
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
40
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because dealer pinning, positive flow and a low-vol backdrop align in the near term — but conviction is capped by an upcoming earnings binary and the documented downside acceleration level; either can swiftly invalidate short-premium bets, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned near $635 with dealer short-gamma creating a bullish magnet that supports range-bound upside and makes short-premium/defined-risk income the highest-probability path to profit over the next 1–3 weeks.

Where They Diverge

The earnings persona views the 4/29 event as a potential binary that favors long-vol or event-straddle positioning into the print, which directly undermines the theta-led recommendation to run short premium through that window; additionally, if flow shows concentrated institutional accumulation skewed to the downside post-earnings, that would contradict the directional pin thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-20 625/615 put spread for credit (theta strategy) — defined-risk short put spread into the pin, collects premium ahead of earnings.

Key Risk

A daily close below $622.88 removes dealer short-gamma support and triggers accelerated downside — immediate drop toward $620 and then $600 gap-fill, which invalidates the short-premium/pinning thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for META for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.