thetaOwl

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.Close $688.55EOD only
Max Pain
$640.00
Next expiry Apr 20, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.42
0.9% from close
Price Gap
-48.55
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.48
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 17, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects META options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 17, 2026 close
META AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 10, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 10, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 17, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning and GEX provide a credible pin, but conviction is capped by the near-term earnings binary and above-average IV which materially raise tail risk and execution cost for short/defined-risk trades.

Where Perspectives Agree

Consensus leans bullish/pinning into the $625–$630 magnet — dealer gamma, net premium flow and positioning all support mean-reversion toward that band rather than a sustained sell-off.

Where They Diverge

The main contradiction is event risk: the upcoming earnings/earnings-adjacent window creates a binary outcome that directly undermines short-premium/directional pin plays (it can invert dealer behaviour and spike IV). Additionally, elevated mid-term IV makes aggressive theta-selling less attractive even though directional and flow want to lean into the pin — that tension weakens execution choices.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-05-15 $620/$600 put spread for a net credit (defined-risk, bullish pin play ahead of earnings window), target credit roughly mid/high single-digit dollars per contract.

Key Risk

A sustained break and daily close below $621 (1-week EM lower bound) would flip dealer gamma from pinning to selling into rallies, remove the magnet, and likely accelerate downside toward the $600 structural support band.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 10, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.