thetaOwl

LRCX

Lam Research CorporationClose $389.04EOD only
Max Pain
$347.50
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$34.45
8.9% from close
Price Gap
-41.54
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.32
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Downside lean
Published snapshot: Jun 18, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects LRCX options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 18, 2026 close
LRCX AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close June 18, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

7 not 8 because the gamma pin is strong at $340 but massive put flow and high IV skew indicate a high probability of a breakdown; the 41-day earnings event adds binary risk that could reverse the thesis.

Where Perspectives Agree

All perspectives converge on downside risk with a $340 gamma pin as key support, but heavy put flow and skew suggest eventual breakdown.

Where They Diverge

Flow's bearish institutional put buying directly contradicts the pin thesis supported by GEX and earnings' historical beat rate, creating tension between near-term stability and longer-term downside.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $340/$330 put spread for $4.20 debit – targets downside reversion with defined risk.

Key Risk

Break below $340 triggers dealer gamma flip from long to short, accelerating downside toward $330 and invalidating the pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on June 18, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.