thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $64.94EOD only
Max Pain
$50.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.71
4.2% from close
Price Gap
-14.94
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.97
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 15, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 15, 2026 close
INTC AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because positioning, concentrated GEX, and visible call flow coherently favor a magnet into $65–$70, but conviction is capped by an imminent earnings binary and offsetting long-dated selling pressure; those two risks can quickly overturn the pin or flip dealer gamma, preventing a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market positioning and dealer gamma are creating a bullish magnet into the $65–$70 band with flow and theta both biased to monetize that pin ahead of earnings; the dominant outcome is a controlled rally into the GEX cluster rather than an immediate large gap move. All perspectives see high vol and dealer-driven pinning that amplifies moves inside that band.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-term dynamics create the main incompatibility: directional and flow read a sustained bullish push into the GEX zone, while the earnings persona and parts of the IV term-structure signal a post-earnings mean-reversion/fade — institutional accumulation into a binary event would be undermined if the post-earnings repricing expects a fade, meaning current accumulation could be immediately liquidated after the print. Additionally, long-dated structural selling (max-pain pressure) conflicts with any high-conviction breakout above $70.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 24 $75/$80 call spread for a net credit (theta persona) — defined-risk, collects near-term rich front-week premium and benefits if the pin holds into/through the print with limited upside exposure.

Key Risk

A decisive break and close below $62 on heavy volume (pre- or post-earnings) that flips dealer gamma and triggers long-dated seller follow-through — consequence: rapid downside acceleration toward $55 support and broad unwinding of call-centric positioning.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for INTC for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.