thetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $63.81EOD only
Max Pain
$50.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.26
5.1% from close
Price Gap
-13.81
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
96
High premium
P/C OI
0.97
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
INTC AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

Score 6.5 because multiple alignment signals (positive GEX pinning, bullish flow, rich front-month premium) push toward the mid-$60s magnet, but an imminent earnings event and the market-pain structural trend lower materially raise binary risk and IV repricing that can invalidate short-premium bets quickly, preventing higher conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Across perspectives the dominant thesis is a short-premium, pin-to-mid-$60s setup: dealer gamma and flow are net long spot around $65, creating a magnet toward $65–70 that compresses spot into that band ahead of the near-term event window.

Where They Diverge

Earnings-focused vol regime and term-structure place a binary event over the same horizon and recommend event-aware long/straddle positioning, which directly undermines blanket short-premium/condor sells; similarly, if institutional flow is accumulating large directional exposure (flow view), that accumulation could precede a post-earnings ramp rather than support a steady pin — these are incompatible because one side expects event-driven dispersion while the other expects pinning into/through the event.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 4/24 $67/$70 call spread for a net credit (defined-risk call spread, front-month expiry) — harvest pinning premium while capping upside risk, expires immediately post-earnings window.

Key Risk

Break and sustained close below $60.55 flips dealer gamma (from short- to long-gamma), removes the pin and would accelerate downside to the next structural support near $57.50, invalidating the short-premium/condor thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for INTC for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.