ThetaOwl

INTC

Intel CorporationClose $62.38EOD only
Max Pain
$48.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$4.31
6.9% from close
Price Gap
-14.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
78
High premium
P/C OI
0.94
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
INTC AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 10, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because structural positioning and GEX alignment support a mean-reversion to the mid-$50s/60 area, but two high-impact negatives cap conviction: (1) an earnings binary in ~2 weeks that can invalidate positioning quickly, and (2) front-end IV fragility that can blow up short premium trades; these keep conviction moderate rather than high.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market positioning and dealer gamma are currently creating a pin toward the mid-$50s/around $60 — consensus is that dealer short-gamma and concentrated bullish positioning make price mean-revert toward that magnet absent a binary shock.

Where They Diverge

The bullish pin thesis is directly threatened by the upcoming earnings window and the clear max-pain/downward MP trend: event-driven IV repricing or a post-earnings selloff would erase dealer pinning and flip the tape into a downside cascade. Additionally, front-end IV spikes make short-premium plays attractive on theta grounds but also materially riskier if volatility re-prices pre-earnings, creating a practical contradiction between income strategies and event risk tolerance.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 2026 $56/$54 put spread and sell Apr 17 2026 $62.50/$65 call spread (short-dated iron condor) for ~ $1.00 credit (net).

Key Risk

A sustained break and close below $55 removes the dealer pin: that trigger flips positioning, causes dealers to buy less delta (or sell into strength) and accelerates downside toward the $49–$46 max-pain area, invalidating the mean-reversion thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for INTC for 2026-04-08. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.