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INTC

Intel CorporationClose $124.57EOD only

Max Pain

$50.00

Next expiry Jun 18, 2026

Expected Move

±$11.80

9.5% from close

Price Gap

-74.57

Distance to max pain

IV Rank

100

High premium

P/C OI

1.05

Balanced positioning

Consensus

8.0/10

Bullish tilt

Published snapshot: Jun 12, 2026 close

End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects INTC options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot

Jun 12, 2026 close

INTC Directional Report

Analysis based on market close June 12, 2026

Directional Theta Gang Flow Earnings Consensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Outlook

Bullish bias supported by strong dealer GEX/flow alignment and positive gamma pinning, but high vol and spot 13% above max pain introduce risk of pullback. Upside to resistance at $130-$136 within 1-2 weeks.

Confidence:

8 / 10

Base 5; GEX/flow aligned (+2), GEX positive pinning (+1), spot far from MP (-1), VIX tailwind (+1). Net 8.

Supports: Bullish flow, +191M GEX, +216.5M DEX, VIX tailwind
Conflicts: High vol, spot 13.2% above MP, resistance at 130/142, gamma flip at 105

🟢Dealers long gamma/flow aligned - supports upward drift

⚡High vol regime - catalyst risk/reward elevated

📌Spot well above max pain $110 - room to run but pin potential

Regime Classification

Vol Regime

High

High - IV elevated vs VIX, event-driven uncertainty

Gamma Regime

Pinning

Pinning - $+191M GEX, dealers long gamma stabilizing near $110-$111

Flow Regime

Bullish

Bullish - net premium positive, call activity dominant

Spot vs Max Pain

Above

Above - spot ~13.2% above max pain $110, bullish but extended

Thesis duration: Event-specific — High vol and gamma pinning near weekly/monthly expiries indicate event-driven dynamics

Price Range Forecast

Next 1 week

$112.77$136.37

Range $112.77-$136.37; resistance at $130-$136, support $112.77

Next 2 weeks

$107.07$142.07

Range $107.07-$142.07; upside to $142 if breakout, but high vol adds downside risk

Key Levels

Max pain pins: $110 (2026-06-12); $50 (2026-06-18); $111 (2026-06-26)

EM guardrails: 1w $112.77/$136.37

Support: $107.07

Resistance: $130.00 · $142.07

Gamma flip: ~$105.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,278 (15.7% below spot)

Structural: Max pain $110 (6/12), $111 (6/26); EM guardrails 1w $112.77-$136.37; support $107.07; resistance $130, $142.07; gamma flip ~$105

Dealer Positioning (GEX/DEX)

GEX: $+191.0M

DEX: +216.5M shares

Gamma flip: ~$105 (Approx — based on put OI concentration of 23,278 (15.7% below spot))

NTM gamma: GEX +$191M, DEX +216.5M shares; dealers long gamma and delta, limiting downside; gamma flip ~$105

IV Analysis

IV vs VIX: IV elevated relative to VIX 17.68, likely rich on event premium

Term structure: Front-month vols elevated, likely steep near expiry; no specific data

Skew: Skew tilted puts; opportunity to sell puts or calendars to capture elevated vol

Flow Analysis

Net premium: Net premium $673M positive, P/C vol ratio 0.53, bullish flow.

Directional prints: 92.2 call 97.5 ITM 2026-09-18 — Vol/OI 414.5, massive deep ITM call buyer, strongly bullish. 24.2 call 128 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 12.4, OTM call buyer near expiry, betting on upside spike. 90.9 call 140 OTM 2026-06-26 — Vol/OI 12.5, OTM call buyer with high IV, bullish anticipation.

Unusual: 9.6 put 124 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 87.8, 0 DTE put; likely sold (bullish) given bullish flow. 19.5 put 122 OTM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 87.5, 0 DTE put; likely sold (bullish). 14.1 put 125 ITM 2026-06-12 — Vol/OI 24.5, 0 DTE put; two-sided; favored sold due to net call buying.

Risks & Catalysts

!Event catalyst fails, spot falls to gamma flip at $105

!Resistance $130 caps upside, leading to mean reversion to MP

!High vol regime amplifies downside if sentiment shifts

!Pinning action fails - spot breaks range violently

Strategy Viability

Strategy	Edge	Best Setup	Primary Risk
Bull call spread	Moderate-Strong	Buy 2026-07-24 $126.00/$165.00 call spread Why now: Dealer GEX and bullish flow support near-term rally; high vol favors premium buyer with defined risk.	Resistance caps upside; earnings miss could reverse gains.
Put credit spread	Moderate-Weak	Sell 2026-07-24 $107.00/$85.00 put spread Why now: Elevated vol makes selling premiums attractive; put credit spread near support ($115-$120) captures bullish skew.	Downside break below support leads to max loss; earnings risk remains. Liquidity constraints: short_put: Volume below 5.
Bullish risk reversal	Moderate	Buy 2026-07-24 $130.00 call / sell 2026-07-24 $101.00 put Why now: Deep ITM call buyer signals strong conviction; risk reversal provides convexity with limited cost.	Short put opens undefined downside if spot drops; earnings binary event amplifies tail risk.

Top Plays

Bull Call Spread

Buy 2026-07-24 $126.00/$165.00 call spread

Buy $126/$165 call spread for near-term upside with capped risk.

Why this play: Strong bullish flow and dealer GEX alignment; defined risk suits high vol.

Debit: $9.20-$11.25

Max loss: $11.25

BE: $137.25

Mgmt: Exit if spot drops below $107 or near expiry if ITM.

Traders seeking leveraged upside with limited capital at risk.

Bullish Risk Reversal

Buy 2026-07-24 $130.00 call / sell 2026-07-24 $101.00 put

Buy $130 call / sell $101 put for upside with limited cost.

Why this play: Deep ITM call buyer signals conviction; cost-effective convexity.

Debit: $7.56-$9.24

Max loss: $101.00

BE: $101.00

Mgmt: Close if spot breaches $107 or adjust put leg if trend weakens.

Aggressive traders comfortable with unlimited put risk.

Put Credit Spread

Sell 2026-07-24 $107.00/$85.00 put spread

Sell $107/$85 put spread to collect premium with defined risk.

Why this play: High vol favors premium selling near support; bullish skew.

Credit: $4.68-$5.71

Max loss: $16.29

BE: $101.29

Mgmt: Buy back spread if spot falls below $115 or invalidates at $107. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Volume below 5.

Income-focused traders expecting bullish drift.

Watchlist Triggers

Entry Triggers

IFSpot trades near $107.07 support and holds. → Enter bull call spread: buy $126/$165 call spread for $9.20-$11.25.

Adjustment Triggers

ADJSpot reaches $130 resistance. → Adjust bull call spread: take partial profits or roll to higher strikes to reduce risk.

Exit Triggers

EXITSpot closes below $107.07. → Exit all bullish positions.

Tactical Summary

Bullish bias with support $107.07 and resistance $130. Enter bull call spread on pullback to support. Adjust at resistance. Exit if support breaks. Use defined risk due to high vol.

How to Use These Reports

This directional reflects the market close on June 12, 2026.

What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.