ICLR
ICON plcClose $169.45EOD onlyThis page reflects ICLR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.
Event-driven behavior view with EPS surprise context and post-event move distribution.
Avg Move
+3.0%
Beat Rate
86%
Avg Surprise
-1.0%
Events
38
Top Setup Preview
Open the earnings report to see the highest-conviction setup for this cycle.
Bias and setup details are synthesized from the earnings persona model.
Confidence
—
Implied vs Realized Gap
-11.5%
Nearest implied move is 3.8% vs historical average realized move of 15.3%.
IV Crush Tendency (Proxy)
49%
Historical events finishing inside the nearest implied move.
Realized earnings moves often exceed what options are pricing.
Post-Earnings Directional Bias
Upside Bias
Up 21 / Down 16 (57% dominant)
Average signed move: -4.6%
Stock Move % on Earnings
Excluded 1 outlier point with invalid percent units.
| Date | Time | EPS Est | EPS Act | Surprise | Stock Move | Beat? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | — | $2.68 | — | — | — | — |
| Jul 29, 2026 | — | $2.52 | — | — | -1.1% | — |
| Jul 23, 2026 | — | $2.52 | — | — | +1.8% | — |
| Jun 30, 2026 | — | $2.52 | $2.56 | +1.70% | +42.0% | Yes |
| Jun 23, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | +1.4% | — |
| Jun 16, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | -2.8% | — |
| Jun 15, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | +1.1% | — |
| Jun 11, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | +3.7% | — |
| Jun 10, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | -4.8% | — |
| Jun 9, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | -28.0% | — |
| Jun 8, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | +1.9% | — |
| Jun 4, 2026 | — | $2.43 | — | — | +6.2% | — |
| Jun 3, 2026 | — | $2.48 | — | — | +4.6% | — |
| Jun 2, 2026 | — | $2.48 | — | — | -35.0% | — |
| Jun 1, 2026 | — | $2.50 | — | — | +1.4% | — |
| May 28, 2026 | — | $2.74 | — | — | +15.5% | — |
| May 27, 2026 | — | $2.74 | — | — | +4.0% | — |
| May 25, 2026 | — | $3.12 | — | — | -2.5% | — |
| May 20, 2026 | — | $3.12 | — | — | +1.4% | — |
| May 13, 2026 | — | $3.13 | — | — | -3.7% | — |
| May 11, 2026 | — | $3.13 | — | — | -4.4% | — |
| May 4, 2026 | — | $3.17 | — | — | -78.0% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | +1.9% | — |
| Apr 29, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | +13.3% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | -70.0% | — |
| Apr 27, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | +1.0% | — |
| Apr 23, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | -7.9% | — |
| Apr 22, 2026 | — | $3.19 | — | — | +22.0% | — |
| Apr 20, 2026 | — | $3.21 | — | — | -2.1% | — |
| Apr 16, 2026 | — | $3.22 | — | — | -79.0% | — |
| Apr 6, 2026 | — | $3.22 | — | — | -4.0% | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | — | $2.43 | $2.50 | +3.05% | +1.5% | Yes |
| Mar 30, 2026 | — | $3.22 | — | — | +2.5% | — |
| Dec 31, 2025 | — | $3.11 | $2.52 | -18.87% | -43.0% | No |
| Sep 30, 2025 | — | $3.28 | $3.31 | +1.04% | +7.1% | Yes |
| Jun 30, 2025 | — | $3.18 | $3.26 | +2.40% | +62.0% | Yes |
| Mar 31, 2025 | — | $3.09 | $3.19 | +3.13% | -2.3% | Yes |
| Dec 31, 2024 | — | $3.43 | $3.43 | +0.14% | +3.0% | Yes |
It shows how the stock has reacted to past earnings, including surprise history, average move size, and whether upside or downside reactions have tended to dominate.
Compare historical realized moves with the next implied move to judge whether options are pricing too much, too little, or roughly enough event risk.
Recent quarters, current guidance, and current IV usually matter more than distant history, especially when the business or macro regime has changed.