thetaOwl

HOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.Close $75.92EOD only
Max Pain
$77.00
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.13
2.8% from close
Price Gap
+1.08
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
8
Low premium
P/C OI
0.67
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 21, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects HOOD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 21, 2026 close
HOOD Theta Report
Analysis based on market close May 22, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness6 / 10
Sizing: Conservative
Primary: Short put spreads
Invalidation: Spot closes below $70 support
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5; -0.5 spot 4.4% from MP; +1 VIX 17

IV Environment

IV Regime
High
IV vs VIX
IV 70% vs VIX 17 – elevated, premium selling favorable
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Upward sloping from 0 DTE (23%) to out months (65%); 0 DTE call IV 97% vs put 66% – extreme skew

⚠️0 DTE call IV extreme – skew risk for short calls
📈Term structure steep – favorable for later expirations

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: Below

GEX regime: Trending ($-25.7M)

Gamma flip: ~$70.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 17,370 (4.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Call OI wall $79-$100, put floor $55-$55; max pain $77 (weekly)

Verdict: Moderate – put heavy below $70 with 17.4k OI, but call wall caps upside

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-18 $70.00/$65.00 put spread
Sells the $70/$65 put spread to capture elevated volatility premium while downside protected by high open interest support.
Credit: $1.34-$1.63
Max loss: $3.37
BE: $68.37
Mgmt: Manage if HOOD drops below $72; consider rolling or closing at 50% of max gain.
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-12 $70.00/$65.00 put wing and $80.00/$83.00 call wing
Sells $70/$65 put wing and $80/$83 call wing to profit from neutral price action with high IV.
Credit: $1.81-$2.21
Max loss: $2.79
BE: 67.79 / 82.21
Mgmt: Monitor delta; adjust wings if price approaches $72 or $78; close at 50% max gain.

Risk Alerts

!High IV vs VIX (70% vs 17) – volatility risk premium elevated
!0 DTE call skew extreme – potential for gamma squeeze
!Spot below max pain $77 – pin risk if price drifts to expiry
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on May 22, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.