base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +0.5 VIX 20; override: Adverse IV/low GEX reduce confidence; strategy adjusted to neutral
Term structure: short-term elevated, spikes at 6/18 and 6/30, back to normal
Spot vs MP: Below
GEX regime: Trending ($-121.1M)
Gamma flip: ~$360.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 102,022 (7.9% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put floor $335-$360 OI 102k; call wall $425-$555
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-02 $385.00/$380.00 put wing and $395.00/$399.00 call wing
Sell 385/380 put & 395/399 call wings to profit from range-bound movement.
Mgmt: Close if spot breaks $384 or $400; adjust wings if IV spikes.
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-02 $385.00/$380.00 put spread
Sell 385/380 put spread to collect premium with bullish bias.
Mgmt: Exit if spot falls below $384; consider rolling down if tested.
#3Call credit spread
Sell 2026-07-02 $395.00/$399.00 call spread
Sell 395/399 call spread to collect premium with bearish bias.
Mgmt: Close if spot exceeds $398; monitor for gamma squeeze.
!Short-term volatility spike from 6/18 weekly options
!Negative GEX can worsen selloffs below $384
!Earnings or macro events could push spot below gamma flip at $360