thetaOwl

GLD

SPDR Gold SharesClose $414.00EOD only
Max Pain
$415.00
Next expiry May 27, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.58
0.9% from close
Price Gap
+1.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
5
Low premium
P/C OI
0.54
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 26, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GLD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 26, 2026 close
GLD Flow Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer flow report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral-to-Bearish
Confirmation: Sustained follow-through of put premium / increased short-dated put volume with spot sliding toward $428-$425 (MP band) and P/C volume rising >1.2
Invalidation: Concentrated call buying pushes spot above $443 with net premium flipping positive and P/C OI ratio moving >0.8 toward calls
Confidence:
5.5 / 10
base 5.5; +0.5 pinning GEX near spot; -0.5 net premium large negative (-$271.6M); mixed flow/volume (P/C vol 0.94)

Watch next session: Short-dated put flow into 4/10 (look for continued heavy volume at $425-$435 strikes); Activity around $435-$439 calls (O/S pin cluster) — large buys or block sales will decide dealer hedging direction

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$271.6M bearish (net premium into puts)

P/C volume ratio: 0.94 — essentially balanced, no extreme put-surge in volume

P/C OI ratio: 0.57 — OI skewed toward calls (longer-dated call concentration)

Intraday flow is mixed: institutional shelves of calls exist (large call OI clusters out-of-the-money) while recent premium traded is net-negative (heavy put premium), producing conflicting signals. Dealers hold significant positive GEX (+$249.0M) so gamma pinning pressure is likely around the $435–$437 area even as notional put premium suggests tactical protection or bearish positioning.

Notable Prints

#1
GLD 2026-04-17 $439.00 Call
Vol: 6,722
OI: 148
Vol/OI: 45.4x
IV: 31.8%
Notional: ~$4.38M
Intent: Fresh directional call buying or aggressive dealer hedging demand near-the-money for that expiration
Dual read: Buy-to-open (bullish exposure) OR sell-to-open as part of spreads/structured sells (neutral to bearish)

Read-through: Very large vol/OI indicates a fresh block — if buys, this is a near-term bullish tweak that increases dealer short-delta and supports pinning around $439-$437; if sells (overwrites), it contributes to net premium negative reading. Either way, it concentrates gamma hedging pressure in the $437–$439 band.

#2
GLD 2026-04-17 $433.00 Call (ITM)
Vol: 9,276
OI: 2,072
Vol/OI: 4.5x
IV: 32.4%
Notional: ~$8.79M
Intent: Significant directional call accumulation or large rollover of existing positions into 4/17 ITM calls
Dual read: Bought (bullish/delta exposure) OR sold/positioned as part of collar/structured trade (hedge/neutral)

Read-through: Large absolute notional and OI mean institutions are active around the near spot — increases dealer hedging sensitivity around $433-$437 and supports the documented pinning at $435–$437.

#3
GLD 2026-04-10 $435.00 Put (ITM short-dated)
Vol: 2,257
OI: 896
Vol/OI: 2.5x
IV: 35.5%
Notional: ~$1.04M
Intent: Protective/short-dated put buying — defensive hedging into the Apr10 expiry
Dual read: Bought puts (protective/hedge) OR liquidity provision closing/selling (less likely given vol/OI)

Read-through: Concentrated short-dated put demand aligns with net premium negative and the MP at $425–$428; it increases downside sticky demand into near-term expiries and pressures dealers to hedge down if spot weakens.

#4
GLD 2026-04-10 $441.00 Call
Vol: 994
OI: 197
Vol/OI: 5.0x
IV: 32.9%
Notional: ~$0.17M
Intent: Tactical call buying for upside exposure into Apr10 or dealer stemming of put pressure
Dual read: Buy-to-open (bullish) OR sell-of-call hedged structure (neutral)

Read-through: Smaller absolute dollar size but elevated vol/OI consistent with focused near-the-money activity — contributes to the cluster of calls around $435–$443 that are creating a pin/near-term magnet.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Concentrated activity at $433-$439 (4/17) and open interest clusters at $450 and $465; longer-dated call walls from $465-$595 indicate outsized institutional call exposure further OTM.

Put additions: Short-dated protective puts concentrated in the $425-$435 band (notably the 4/10 $435 puts) and a large structural put floor at $360 (OI=100,918) signaling long-term downside protection or structured product floors.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — positive Total GEX (+$249.0M) and DEX (+142.0M shares) align with call-heavy OI and the observed pinning around $435–$437, even though net premium traded is negative (put premium) indicating tactical hedging by institutions.

OI clusters: Largest OI pockets: $360 put floor (100,918 OI) acts as long-term downside anchor; call concentration at $550-$595 and near-term call clusters at $450 (6,841 OI) and $465 (62,211 + 55,848 aggregated entries) create multi-layered upside resistance/walls. Near-term OI clustering around $435-$437 (3,315–3,676 OI) is functioning as a pin magnet.

Hedging evidence: Clear short-dated protective put demand into Apr10 ($435 puts) and likely collars or structured overlays given the combination of large far-OTM put floors and heavy call OI — evidence points to institutional hedging rather than pure directional selling.

Max pain context: Max pain is clustered around $428 (flat across expirations). Spot is above MP and dealer GEX pinning is concentrated at $435–$437, so dealers are positioned to keep price near the MP band while hedging flows around the $435–$440 area.

Signal vs Noise

~Large notional negative net premium at very high strikes (575, 685, 540 etc.) likely reflects structured product rebalancing or one-off block trades — these far-OTM put inflows are not immediate directional signals for spot inside the 2-day expected move.
~High vol/OI in 4/17 calls (e.g., $439 and $433) could be blocks executed for delta hedging rather than pure directional buys; treat single-session lumps with care until follow-through or hedge trades appear in the book.
~Short-dated flows around 4/10 are expiration-related hedges (rolls into 4/17 or buys to close) — expiration roll dynamics can look like directional buying/selling but may simply be position management.

Key Conclusions

🔁Mixed flow: large short-term call blocks and short-dated put buys both active — read as institutions adjusting hedges rather than a clean directional trade (net premium -$271.6M while call OI remains large).
📌Pinning risk concentrated at $435–$437: multiple GEX concentration nodes (+$7.3M at $437, +$5.5M at $435) and near-term OI clusters support a magnet close to current spot.
⚖️Dealer gamma positive (+$249.0M) favors reduced realized volatility inside the next 2–5 days — breakdown requires sustained net put pressure and follow-through below $428–$425 MP band.
🛡️Evidence of defensive hedging: 4/10 $435 put flow and the 100,918 OI at $360 show institutions buying protection and maintaining downside floors, implying asymmetric downside protection.
🚨Watch short-dated put volume and any large sales at $435-$439 calls in the next session — these will determine whether dealers push the pin lower toward $425 or get forced to hedge higher past $443.
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This flow reflects the market close on April 8, 2026.
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