thetaOwl

GLD

SPDR Gold SharesClose $430.50EOD only
Max Pain
$425.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.24
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-5.50
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
57
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.57
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Neutral tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects GLD options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
GLD Flow Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Flow Verdict

BiasNeutral
Confirmation: Sustained positive GEX and pinning near current levels
Invalidation: Large OTM put activity materializing into spot decline
Confidence:
7 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.5% from MP; +1 VIX 17

Watch next session: Monitor if spot breaks gamma flip at 360; Watch for continued OTM put hedging

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$329.8M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 1.16

P/C OI ratio: 0.57

GLD sees heavy put volume skewing flow mixed, but positive gamma and pinning regime limit downside. Net premium negative reflects bearish positioning, but GEX suggests dealers are long gamma.

Notable Prints

#1
GLD 2026-08-21 $380.00 Call
Vol: 908
OI: 103
Vol/OI: 8.8x
IV: 32.1%
Notional: ~$5.2M
Intent: Bullish call buying
Dual read: Covering short call

Read-through: Positive outlook

#2
GLD 2026-05-15 $426.00 Put
Vol: 2,526
OI: 301
Vol/OI: 8.4x
IV: 19.3%
Notional: ~$482K
Intent: Hedging downside
Dual read: Speculative put buying

Read-through: Expects decline

#3
GLD 2026-05-15 $470.00 Put
Vol: 3,150
OI: 661
Vol/OI: 4.8x
IV: 69.5%
Notional: ~$13.4M
Intent: Hedging deep downside
Dual read: Speculative volatility bet

Read-through: Bearish tail risk

#4
GLD 2026-05-15 $428.00 Put
Vol: 2,401
OI: 497
Vol/OI: 4.8x
IV: 20.5%
Notional: ~$603K
Intent: Hedging downside
Dual read: Speculative put buying

Read-through: Expects decline

#5
GLD 2026-05-15 $480.00 Put
Vol: 15,703
OI: 3,951
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 77.9%
Notional: ~$82.5M
Intent: Hedging deep downside
Dual read: Speculative volatility bet

Read-through: Bearish tail risk

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: GLD 2026-08-21 $380 Call (908 vol, 8.8x OI) and 2026-12-18 $395 Call (488 vol)

Put additions: Heavy put buying at 465, 470, 480, 485 strikes for 2026-05-15 expiry; also 2026-12-18 $485 Put

GEX/DEX consistency: GEX +$179M and DEX +114.5M shares are consistent with pinning action near max pain ~425-430

OI clusters: Large put OI clusters: $480 (3,951), $465 (2,814), $470 (661); call OI dispersed

Hedging evidence: Far OTM put buying (480, 485) with high IV indicates tail hedging; collar-like positioning

Max pain context: Spot near MP (~426-428), gamma flip at $360 based on put OI concentration

Signal vs Noise

~High put volume at 480/485 is likely tail hedging, not directional short
~Put/call volume ratio >1 but OI ratio <1 shows intraday bearish flow, not structural shift

Key Conclusions

🛡️Institutions are hedging downside with expensive far OTM puts while maintaining long call positions
📌Gamma pinning near max pain ~$426-428; spot likely to gravitate there by expiry
⚠️High IV on tail puts signals fear, but GEX/DEX positive argues for sideways to slight upside
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.