thetaOwl

FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETFClose $37.23EOD only
Max Pain
$36.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.23
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
84
High premium
P/C OI
1.06
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FXI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
FXI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because dealer pinning and concentrated put OI provide structural support, but mixed flow signals and a clear, close-by gamma-flip level (~37) plus event/macro risk keep conviction from being higher.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned to the $36/$35 max-pain band with dealer long-gamma anchoring price; net bias is mild bearish-to-range-bound absent a gamma flip above ~37 which would shift to a capped drift higher.

Where They Diverge

Theta and flow personas (income-seeking vs. institutional flow) diverge on timing: premium sellers want to collect into the pin, while flow signals (mixed/unusual) suggest directional accumulation that would invalidate a sustained grind lower if it intensifies—these are mutually undermining if flow becomes concentrated buys. Additionally, any near-term macro/China shock would overturn the pin regardless of option positioning.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 01 2026 $37.50/$39.50 call spread for a credit (defined-risk bearish income).

Key Risk

A sustained close below ~$37 (gamma flip) triggers dealer hedging, removes pin support and accelerates downside toward the $35 max-pain band, invalidating the capped/range thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for FXI for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.