thetaOwl

FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETFClose $37.23EOD only
Max Pain
$36.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.44
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-1.23
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
84
High premium
P/C OI
1.06
Balanced positioning
Consensus
5.5/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FXI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
FXI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
5.5

out of 10

5.5 because short-dated dealer pinning and attractive theta align across personas, but opposing institutional flow and the binary event in 2 days meaningfully raise the chance the current structure breaks; that mix reduces conviction from a higher score.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market is pinned into the short-dated $37 cluster with dealer short-gamma amplifying moves and creating a theta-rich environment that favors front-end premium selling while keeping upside capped into that resistance.

Where They Diverge

Flow signals of institutional accumulation and sizable buy-side prints (flow) point to conviction above the pin and a potential breakout, which directly contradicts the directional persona's neutral-to-bearish thesis that $37 will act as a magnet/resistance; additionally, an imminent short-dated event (earnings/print window) creates a binary that undermines both steady premium-selling and directional continuation depending on the surprise direction.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 17 $38.50/$39.50 bear call spread for ~$0.20 credit (theta play targeting pin and front-week decay).

Key Risk

Break and close below $35.50 within the front-week window flips dealer gamma long, removes the $37 pin, and accelerates downside toward $32 support — this single move would invalidate the pin/short-gamma-theta thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for FXI for 2026-04-15. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.