thetaOwl

FXI

iShares China Large-Cap ETFClose $36.89EOD only
Max Pain
$36.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$0.61
1.7% from close
Price Gap
-0.89
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
1.08
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FXI options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
FXI AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because dealer gamma and strike clustering materially bias price toward $37, giving tactical edges for premium selling, but mixed flow and an upcoming binary/event window create a credible path for rapid invalidation — enough to trade the edges but not to size aggressively long directional risk.

Where Perspectives Agree

Net consensus: position is range-bound with a magnet near $37 — dealer short-gamma and concentrated pain create a durable pin while spot holds above that level, supporting defined-risk premium sales and small directional upside exposure.

Where They Diverge

Flow and earnings views introduce the key incompatibility: flow shows institutional accumulation into the $36–$38 strikes (supporting continuation of the pin), while the earnings/event persona flags a near-term binary that would rationally force de-risking and could trigger a rapid IV re-pricing and positioning unwind — one implies steady pinning, the other implies a high-probability disruption. Theta-driven sell structures favor harvesting premium into the pin, but that approach is directly undermined if institutions shift to protection ahead of the event.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 $36/$35 put spread for a modest credit (defined-risk); expiration captures the pin and avoids holding through the next larger event window.

Key Risk

A close and sustained break below $32 (trigger: rollover under $32 on heavy volume or one-day close below $32) would flip dealer gamma, remove the pin, and accelerate downside toward the $30.20 structural support — this outcome invalidates the range/premium-selling thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for FXI for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.