thetaOwl

FIGR

Figure Technology Solutions, InClose $36.40EOD only
Max Pain
$43.50
Next expiry May 22, 2026
Expected Move
±$2.15
5.9% from close
Price Gap
+7.10
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
0
Low premium
P/C OI
0.44
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: May 20, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects FIGR options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 20, 2026 close
FIGR Flow Report
Analysis based on market close March 30, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from March 30, 2026. A newer flow report is available for April 7, 2026.

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Flow Verdict

BiasBearish
Confirmation: Spot decisively breaks and holds below the $30 gamma flip level with elevated volume, confirming the bearish premium flow.
Invalidation: Spot reclaims $33 (near-term max pain) with net premium flipping positive and call flow dominating premium, breaking the institutional hedging pattern.
Confidence:
4 / 10
base 5; +0.5 sustained bearish net premium; +0.5 GEX/flow aligned; -1.0 low-flow day with minimal unusual activity; -0.5 spot holding above gamma flip (~$30); -0.5 P/C volume ratio shows retail call interest

Watch next session: Defense of the $30 put wall (5,676 OI) and the ~$30 gamma flip level; Any significant call buying that challenges the $32-$34 resistance zone, particularly at the $32 strike

Flow Summary

Net premium: -$1.1M bearish

P/C volume ratio: 0.52 — call-dominant volume, but premium tells opposite story

P/C OI ratio: 0.54 — moderate put lean in positioning

The bearish institutional narrative persists, virtually unchanged from prior sessions. Net premium remains decisively negative, driven by large, high-strike put purchases. The flow is consistent but activity is thin, with minimal new unusual prints. The market remains in a standoff between bearish premium flow and a spot price clinging above critical gamma support.

Notable Prints

#1
FIGR 4/10 $37 Call
Vol: 496
OI: 123
Vol/OI: 4.0x
IV: 92.0%
Notional: ~$156K
Intent: Long-dated OTM call purchase or spread leg
Dual read: Directional bet on a sharp rally, or a short call sale/write for premium

Read-through: Given the overwhelmingly bearish premium flow and high IV regime, this is more likely a short call sale (credit) as part of a bearish structure (e.g., call credit spread) or a covered call write. The size is meaningful but not enough to offset the institutional put flow.

#2
FIGR 4/24 $32 Call
Vol: 200
OI: 100
Vol/OI: 2.0x
IV: 95.2%
Notional: ~$64K
Intent: Longer-dated call writing or spread leg
Dual read: Directional buy for a Q2 breakout, or sale as part of a covered call/ratio spread

Read-through: This is a repeat of the prior day's top print. The consistency suggests this is likely a roll or adjustment to an existing position (e.g., rolling a short call forward in time), not a new directional bet. It reinforces the overhead resistance narrative.

#3
FIGR 4/24 $30 Call
Vol: 200
OI: 105
Vol/OI: 1.9x
IV: 89.0%
Notional: ~$60K
Intent: Near-ATM call purchase or sale
Dual read: Bullish bet on holding $30 support, or a short call to finance puts

Read-through: Strike is slightly below spot, making it a cheap bullish bet if bought. However, the lower IV (89.0%) relative to other strikes and the bearish context suggest this could be sold, possibly as a leg to finance the massive OTM put purchases seen in the premium flow data.

Institutional Positioning

Call additions: Minor, low-premium activity at $30 and $32. The $30 call shows the largest net positive premium ($329K), likely serving as a gamma hedge for market makers against the massive $30 put wall. Other call activity is negligible.

Put additions: Unchanged and dominant: Massive premium spent on OTM puts at $40 (-$362K net), $36 (-$259K), $75 (-$236K), $65 (-$173K), and $80 (-$131K). This is a carbon copy of prior days—institutional hedging or outright bearish positioning on a scale that dwarfs all call activity.

GEX/DEX consistency: Yes — Strongly aligned. Positive but small GEX (+$0.9M) indicates a pinning/mean-reverting regime near current spot. Dealers are long gamma here and will dampen moves, but the dominant dollar flow remains bearish, suggesting any rally will be sold into.

OI clusters: Major put walls remain at $30 (5,676 OI) and $40 (3,937 OI). The $30 wall is critical support. Call OI is dispersed, with the largest cluster at the deep OTM $40 call (9,660 OI), which is likely legacy or speculative lottery tickets, not fresh bullish bets.

Hedging evidence: Overwhelming and unchanged. The size and strike selection ($40, $75, $80) of the put purchases are textbook tail-risk or portfolio protection. The consistency day-over-day confirms this is a deliberate, sustained positioning shift, not a one-off event.

Max pain context: Spot ($31.43) remains ~4.8% below the near-term max pain ($33 for 3/27). This creates a mild gravitational pull higher, but it is being robustly resisted by the put-heavy OI and bearish dollar flow. The max pain trend is falling, aligning with the bearish flow.

Signal vs Noise

~High call volume (P/C Volume 0.52) is noise—likely retail/small lot speculation, overwhelmed by the institutional put hedging in dollar terms.
~The top unusual prints are likely rolls or adjustments to existing positions (e.g., the repeated $32 and $30 calls), not new directional initiation.
~Far OTM calls ($40, $50, $70) and puts ($25, $40) are likely long-dated, low-cost lottery tickets or parts of multi-legged spreads, not immediate directional signals.
~The positive net premium at the $30 call strike is likely offsetting gamma for market makers against the massive $30 put wall, not a standalone bullish bet.

Key Conclusions

⚠️Institutional Hedging Unchanged: The -$1.1M net premium, concentrated in OTM puts, is the clear, repeated signal. Volume lies, premium doesn't.
📌Pinning Regime at Critical Support: Positive GEX (+$0.9M) suggests dealers will dampen volatility, pinning spot near $31. The battle is at the $30 put wall/gamma flip.
🧱$30 Put Wall (5,676 OI) is Absolute Support: A decisive break below $30 targets the next major OI cluster at $25. Defense of this level is paramount.
🔄Flow is Stagnant: Unusual activity is minimal and repetitive, indicating position maintenance, not new conviction. The bearish thesis is unchallenged but not accelerating.
🆚Standoff: Max Pain Magnet ($33) vs. Flow & OI Gravity ($30). Flow and positioning suggest the path of least resistance remains toward $30, but dealers are currently damping the move.
How to Use These Reports
This flow reflects the market close on March 30, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.