thetaOwl

DIA

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFClose $516.62EOD only
Max Pain
$515.00
Next expiry Jun 26, 2026
Expected Move
±$6.50
1.3% from close
Price Gap
-1.62
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
37
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
1.90
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 23, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects DIA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 23, 2026 close
DIA Theta Report
Analysis based on market close June 24, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Theta Verdict

Attractiveness9 / 10
Sizing: Moderate
Primary: Put Credit Spread
Invalidation: Break below $504.55 support
Confidence:
8 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +1 spot 0.7% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19

IV Environment

IV Regime
Normal
IV vs VIX
IV (22.7%) above VIX (18.6%), favorable for premium selling
Favorable?
Yes

Term structure: Near-term put IV elevated vs call, indicating hedging; term structure flatter further out.

💹Put/Call OI ratio 1.88 suggests heavy put open interest, potential support at pin levels.
📌Max pain pins at $515/$510/$516; spot near MP, gamma pinning likely for next expirations.
Positive dealer gamma ($+17M) indicates dealers hedge by buying dips, adding support.

Pin Risk Assessment

Spot vs MP: At

GEX regime: Pinning ($+17.0M)

Gamma flip: ~$400.00Approx — based on put OI concentration of 5,466 (22.9% below spot)

OI concentrations: Put OI heavy below spot ($380-$460 floor); Call OI wall $545-$675. Near-term max pain at $515, $510, $516.

Verdict: Moderate pin risk; spot near max pain but bullish flow and positive GEX support. Gamma flip far at $400.

Premium Opportunities

#1
Put credit spread
Sell 2026-07-17 $505.00/$495.00 put spread
Sell $505/$495 put spread for max gain of 1.26.
Credit: $1.03-$1.26
Max loss: $8.74
BE: $503.74
Mgmt: Close if DIA breaks below $504.55 support or IV expands. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Wide spread (96%).
#2
Iron condor
Sell 2026-07-17 $505.00/$495.00 put wing and $535.00/$545.00 call wing
Sell $505/$495 put wing and $535/$545 call wing for max gain of 2.91.
Credit: $2.38-$2.91
Max loss: $7.09
BE: 502.09 / 537.91
Mgmt: Adjust wings if spot approaches $515 or $530. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: long_put: Wide spread (96%).; short_call: Wide spread (145%).
#3
Short strangle
Sell 2026-07-17 $500.00 put + sell $540.00 call
Sell $500 put and $540 call for max gain of 4.92.
Credit: $4.03-$4.92
Max loss: Unlimited
BE: 495.08 / 544.92
Mgmt: Monitor closely; hedge if spot approaches strikes. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_call: Wide spread (173%).

Risk Alerts

!Front-week pin risk heightened due to max pain and put-heavy OI.
!Watch for IV expansion if spot breaks key support $504.55.
How to Use These Reports
This theta reflects the market close on June 24, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.