base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.8% from MP; +1 VIX 17
Term structure: Front-end low (5.4% at 0DTE), back-end elevated put IV; slight contango
Spot vs MP: Above
GEX regime: Pinning ($+64.5M)
Gamma flip: ~$480.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 8,590 (5.2% below spot)
OI concentrations: Put-heavy OI; max pain $497 (today) and $495 next week; gamma flip at $480
#1Iron condor
Sell 2026-06-12 $500.00/$498.00 put wing and $510.00/$515.00 call wing
Sells put wing at 500/498 and call wing at 510/515, capturing elevated IV and range-bound expectation.
Mgmt: Exit if spot breaks 480 (gamma flip) or 520 (resistance); manage early at 50% of max gain. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (123%).
#2Put credit spread
Sell 2026-06-12 $500.00/$498.00 put spread
Sells put spread 500/498, betting spot stays above 498, pocketing small premium (0.09-0.11).
Mgmt: Exit if spot drops below 497 invalidation level; consider rolling down if tested. Liquidity warning: Liquidity constraints: short_put: Wide spread (123%).