thetaOwl

CVNA

Carvana Co.Close $69.90EOD only
Max Pain
$80.50
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.18
4.6% from close
Price Gap
+10.60
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
64
High premium
P/C OI
0.97
Balanced positioning
Consensus
6.0/10
Bearish tilt
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects CVNA options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
CVNA AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

6 not 7 because theta's bearish signal conflicts with the three bullish personas, and spot is 13% below max pain, reducing conviction until spot reclaims $70 or gamma flips at $60.

Where Perspectives Agree

All personas see bullish potential with dealer short gamma amplifying moves, supported by positive dealer delta and call buying at 70/73, but spot at $68.99 below max pain at $80 limits immediate upside.

Where They Diverge

Theta recommends bear put spreads due to extreme near-term put skew, directly contradicting the bullish flow and directional bias that see real call accumulation and upward drift.

Top Trade
via directional

Buy 2026-08-21 $88/$96 call spread for $2.50 debit

Key Risk

Break below $60 flips dealer gamma from short to long, removing the bullish pin and accelerating decline to $55 or lower.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.