thetaOwl

COIN

Coinbase Global, Inc.Close $201.80EOD only
Max Pain
$195.00
Next expiry May 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$11.60
5.8% from close
Price Gap
-6.80
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.70
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: May 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects COIN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 13, 2026 close
COIN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close May 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
8.0

out of 10

8 not 9 because earnings event (OPEX) in 8 days introduces binary risk that could amplify or reverse the pin, despite unanimous bullish flow and gamma support.

Where Perspectives Agree

All three perspectives agree on a bullish bias with strong dealer gamma pinning near $195 and heavy institutional call accumulation driving further upside.

Where They Diverge

No significant conflicts; earnings IV contraction post-OPEX slightly tempers directional enthusiasm but does not undermine core bullish thesis.

Top Trade
via flow

Buy 2026-05-29 $220/$240 call spread for $4.20 debit — flows show aggressive call buying at similar strikes, and earnings calendar captures post-OPEX IV contraction while maintaining upside exposure.

Key Risk

Break below $195 gamma flip triggers dealer selling and accelerates drop to $170 support, invalidating the bullish pin thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on May 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.