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AVGO

Broadcom Inc.Close $481.57EOD only
Max Pain
$420.00
Next expiry Jun 5, 2026
Expected Move
±$43.30
9.0% from close
Price Gap
-61.57
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
1.12
Slightly put-heavy
Consensus
8.5/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Jun 2, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AVGO options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 2, 2026 close
AVGO Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close April 15, 2026
DirectionalTheta GangFlowEarningsConsensus

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 15, 2026. A newer earnings report is available for May 26, 2026.

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Earnings Verdict

7.5/10. Best strategy is defined-risk premium sales inside the expected-move corridor (e.g., put-credit or iron-condor) to harvest elevated front-end premium while being long gamma tail-protection selectively. Key risk is a guidance or macro shock that breaks dealer pinning — that would spike realized move beyond the 2–7 day EM and blow out short-premium positions.

Confidence:
7.5 / 10
base 5; +2 GEX/flow strongly aligned; +1 GEX positive (pinning); -1 spot 8.0% from MP; +0.5 VIX 18
Most important: Front-cycle dealer pinning (GEX concentrated at $390/$400) and bullish net premium flow are the primary drivers — if price clips those pins quickly, range-trading premium sales become dangerous.
📌GEX concentrated at $390/$400 — dealers are set to pin AVGO inside a narrow band in the next few sessions.
⚠️Historic beat rate 100% (4/4) raises asymmetric expectations — short-premium trades price that in but remain exposed to guidance surprises.
💡Front 2d EM: $385.15–$408.30; 5d EM: $378.72–$414.72 — calibrate strikes to these rails for defined-risk structures.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
High
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Bullish
Spot vs MP
Above
Gamma flip: ~$290.00 — Approx — based on put OI concentration of 13,162 (26.9% below spot)

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-06-03 (49 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-04-17 (2d): ±$11.58 (2.9%)
  • 2026-04-20 (5d): ±$18.00 (4.5%)
  • 2026-04-22 (7d): ±$23.17 (5.8%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Near-term tenors (2–16d) show a kink: 2d ATM 40.5% (2026-04-17) then 9–16d 44–47% and 30d ~45%. Front-week IV is elevated relative to immediate 2d slice but compresses into 9–16d; post-event tenors sit ~46–50%.

Crush estimate: Moderate-to-high crush for very short expirations (2–9d) given front-loaded premium — expect a multi-point IV drop post any surprise (front-expiry IV falls from ~44% to mid-40s+ on longer tenors).

Skew: Downside put skew is present but call-side premium is dominant in net premium flows (net premium +$740.3M heavily skewed to calls at strikes $300–$420). Near-term OTM puts (e.g., $390 4/17) have unusual activity but overall the market is leaning bullish.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 100% (4/4 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Historically AVGO has beaten expectations (100% beat rate, 4/4). Recent realized moves around announcements have been modest relative to tail-implied ranges — current deterministic EM for 2d is ±$11.57 (2.9%).

Directional bias: Slight upside bias into results driven by consistent beats and heavy call premium + net bullish flow; dealers are positioned long gamma (GEX +$82.4M) which supports pinning near current call clusters ($390/$400).

Key Levels

1$290.00 gamma flip
2EM guardrails: 2d $385.15/$408.30; 1w $378.72/$414.72
3Max pain pins: $368 (2026-04-15); $340 (2026-04-17); $370 (2026-04-20)

Flow Highlights

Concentrated GEX at $390.00 (+$14.9M) and $400.00 (+$13.7M).

Dealer hedging will exert pinning pressure between -1.7% and +0.8% of spot — trade setups that assume range between roughly $385–$400 have structural dealer support.

Large long-dated call OI and premium centered at $300 and $360–$400 strikes (multi-hundred-million notional at $300 and $360).

Heavy long-dated call accumulation signals structural bullish positioning; front-term premium sales may be supported by longer-term call holders reducing sell-side gamma exposure.

Unusual front-cycle put activity: AVGO 04/17 $390 put vol spike (Vol=4,030 on OI=165).

Short-dated downside hedge flows could be transient protection buying or speculative positioning betting on a short-term pull; this increases bid for short-dated puts and slightly reduces attractiveness of naked put sales into the 2-day window.

Strategies

Defined-risk put credit (front-cycle)
Sell 2026-04-17 $390.00/$380.00 put spread
Credit: $1.75-$2.14
Max loss: $7.86
Max gain: $2.14
BE: $387.86
Trigger: Close into the post-event IV drop or if price closes below the short put by >1–2% intraday; widen/roll only if market shows trending break below deterministic supports.
Best risk-adjusted way to harvest short-term premium given positive GEX pinning and EM guardrails. It aligns with bullish dealer flow while capping downside.
Outperforms: Sell a near-term OTM put credit spread sized to the expected move (target short delta ~0.20 with a protective long ~5 points lower) to collect front-tenor premium while keeping defined risk.
Underperforms: Break below support threatens short-put strike.
Near-term iron condor inside EM
Sell 2026-04-24 $380.00/$362.50 put wing and $420.00/$435.00 call wing
Credit: $4.46-$5.46
Max loss: $12.04
Max gain: $5.46
BE: 374.54 / 425.46
Trigger: Trim or buy wings if price trends toward a sold wing; take profits into post-event IV crush when premium decays to target or after the scheduled event window.
Harvest two-sided premium across the 5–16d window where EM guardrails and GEX pinning define a tradable range; defined wings reduce tail risk relative to a naked short strangle.
Outperforms: Sell a balanced iron condor sized to the 5–9d EM (short call and short put with wings outside the EM rails). This profits if AVGO stays within the pinned corridor and front IV compresses.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Conservative cash-secured put to pick up shares
Sell 2026-05-01 $360.00 cash-secured put
Credit: $3.24-$3.96
Max loss: $356.04
Max gain: $3.96
BE: $356.04
Trigger: Hold to expiration if assigned; otherwise, roll lower or close after a sizable sell-off or on an IV surge.
If the goal is long stock at a discount, selling a month-ish put below the deterministic supports leverages the 100% beat history and GEX support while collecting attractive premium.
Outperforms: Sell a 9–30d cash-secured put at a delta ~0.15 that sits below dealer support; collects premium and sets up a purchase if assigned after a transient pullback.
Underperforms: Sustained break below support increases assignment risk.

Risk Assessment

!Gap risk: Guidance shock or macro event could gap price beyond sold-wing defenses — iron condors and put-credit spreads are vulnerable to overnight moves.
!IV crush impact: Long-vol strategies (straddle/strangle) need a move larger than front-end crush; short-premium strategies benefit from compression but must survive tail moves.
!Liquidity: Option market is liquid across multiple expirations (Total OI 1.64M) but very wide short-dated strikes (2d) can show intermittent depth; use limit orders and size conservatively.
!Sizing: Given positive GEX and concentrated call OI, position size short premium at 1–2% of account risk per position and keep defined wings to control max loss.

What to Watch

?Price action around $390 and $400 (GEX pin magnets). A quick sweep through these levels invalidates short-premium thesis.
?Short-end IV moves (2–9d). If near-term IV rises instead of compressing into the event, avoid naked short premium.
?Unusual flow in front-cycle puts (the 04/17 $390 spike) — persistent put-bid increases downside risk for naked put sellers.
?SPY/QQQ risk-on moves; strong tape can lift AVGO through call clusters and force short-call adjustments.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on April 15, 2026.
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Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

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What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.