thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $249.70EOD only
Max Pain
$220.00
Next expiry Apr 17, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.04
1.2% from close
Price Gap
-29.70
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.58
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.5/10
Consensus signal
Published snapshot: Apr 16, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 16, 2026 close
AMZN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 17, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because all personas align on pinning and a theta-favorable regime, but conviction is capped by a tangible conflict: persistent bullish flow or an IV-driven rebalancing event can rapidly invalidate the mean-reversion view.

Where Perspectives Agree

Neutral-to-slight-bearish short-term: dealer gamma pinning near $240–$246 creates a magnet and makes mean-reversion into the $240–$250 band the highest-probability path, enabling theta-rich, defined-risk income trades.

Where They Diverge

Flow shows net institutional bullish accumulation that, if sustained, would overwhelm dealer hedges and push spot through the $254 cap toward $260+, directly contradicting the directional pin/mean-reversion thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 15 2026 iron-condor: sell $235/$220 put wing and $270/$290 call wing for net credit (defined-risk iron condor, expires May 15).

Key Risk

A sustained break and daily close below $235 removes the dealer gamma pin (triggers aggressive dealer selling/re-hedging) and accelerates downside toward the $220 support/gap, invalidating the income/mean-reversion thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for AMZN for 2026-04-17. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.