thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $249.02EOD only
Max Pain
$230.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.52
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-19.02
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
100
High premium
P/C OI
0.59
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 14, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 14, 2026 close
AMZN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because gamma+flow alignment produces a robust short-term magnet, but conviction is pulled down materially by concentrated short-dated expiry/max-pain risk and the call-wall that limits upside — those are single-event/level risks that can invalidate the pin faster than the positioning supports a durable rally.

Where Perspectives Agree

Pinning into the $250 area is the central thesis — dealer gamma and existing flow create a magnet toward $250, making a short-term mean-reversion/pin the highest-probability outcome.

Where They Diverge

The clear conflict is timing and event-risk: directional and earnings personas see a pin to ~$250, but the concentrated short-dated expiries with max-pain clustered down near $230/$217 create an expiry-driven downside tail that directly undermines any bullish continuation past those dates. Second, structural call OI at $265–$300 caps upside and means large call buying or a surprise positive catalyst is required to convert a pin into a sustained breakout.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 240/235 put spread (credit) — defined-risk premium selling into the pin; expected small credit.

Key Risk

A sustained break below $230 (breach of the max-pain cluster) which triggers dealer hedging reversal and a liquidation cascade — consequence: gamma support flips, pin dissipates and downside accelerates toward the $217 gap/support area.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for AMZN for 2026-04-14. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.