thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $274.00EOD only
Max Pain
$265.00
Next expiry May 29, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.63
1.3% from close
Price Gap
-9.00
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
28
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.57
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
8.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 28, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 28, 2026 close
AMZN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 14, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 14, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.0

out of 10

Score 6 because gamma+flow alignment produces a robust short-term magnet, but conviction is pulled down materially by concentrated short-dated expiry/max-pain risk and the call-wall that limits upside — those are single-event/level risks that can invalidate the pin faster than the positioning supports a durable rally.

Where Perspectives Agree

Pinning into the $250 area is the central thesis — dealer gamma and existing flow create a magnet toward $250, making a short-term mean-reversion/pin the highest-probability outcome.

Where They Diverge

The clear conflict is timing and event-risk: directional and earnings personas see a pin to ~$250, but the concentrated short-dated expiries with max-pain clustered down near $230/$217 create an expiry-driven downside tail that directly undermines any bullish continuation past those dates. Second, structural call OI at $265–$300 caps upside and means large call buying or a surprise positive catalyst is required to convert a pin into a sustained breakout.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell 2026-04-24 240/235 put spread (credit) — defined-risk premium selling into the pin; expected small credit.

Key Risk

A sustained break below $230 (breach of the max-pain cluster) which triggers dealer hedging reversal and a liquidation cascade — consequence: gamma support flips, pin dissipates and downside accelerates toward the $217 gap/support area.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 14, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.