ThetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $238.38EOD only
Max Pain
$225.00
Next expiry Apr 13, 2026
Expected Move
±$1.36
0.6% from close
Price Gap
-13.38
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
66
High premium
P/C OI
0.59
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
6.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Apr 10, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 10, 2026 close
AMZN AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 8, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for April 10, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
6.5

out of 10

6.5 because GEX-driven pinning and bullish net premium are strong and aligned, but conviction is tempered by (1) distance above multi-expiration max-pain creating meaningful tail risk, (2) the concentrated call-wall that can blunt upside, and (3) a short time window before expiries where a macro shock could flip dealer gamma — enough alignment for action but not for high conviction.

Where Perspectives Agree

Market consensus across perspectives is pinning into the $220–$225 area with dealer short-gamma reinforcing any move toward those strikes — positioning and net premium favor mean reversion into that band rather than a clean trend continuation higher.

Where They Diverge

Theta-oriented playbooks push aggressive short-premium (tight put spreads/iron condors) to harvest pin benefits, but the directional view flags that spot is 6.6% above multi-expiration max pain and a sharp break below the 2-day EM floor would wipe out the pin; this makes pure premium-selling structurally risky. Additionally, concentrated call OI above $235 implies upside is non-linear and can be capped by large holders, which undermines a pure bullish breakout thesis.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell Apr 10 $217.50/$215 put spread for credit (defined-risk short put spread) — tactical theta play to monetize the pin.

Key Risk

A decisive break below $216.76 (the 2-day EM floor) flips dealer gamma out of pinning and would accelerate downside toward the multi-expiration max-pain near $207.50 — this single level/trigger invalidates the pin and negates the short-premium thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for AMZN for 2026-04-08. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.