thetaOwl

AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.Close $246.03EOD only
Max Pain
$255.00
Next expiry Jun 8, 2026
Expected Move
±$5.29
2.1% from close
Price Gap
+8.97
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
51
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.64
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
5.0/10
Range bias
Published snapshot: Jun 5, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AMZN options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Jun 5, 2026 close
AMZN Earnings Report
Analysis based on market close June 8, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Earnings Verdict

AMZN 52 days from earnings; 80% beat rate but low confidence due to mixed flow.

Confidence:
6 / 10
base 5; -1 GEX/flow contradict; +1 GEX positive (pinning); +0.5 spot 1.9% from MP; +0.5 VIX 19
Most important: Mixed flow and near-term pinning at $250 MP.
📈72.5x vol/oi on 6/8 $245C signals aggressive call buying.

Regime Classification

Vol Regime
Normal
Gamma Regime
Pinning
Flow Regime
Mixed
Spot vs MP
Below

Earnings Overview

Next earnings: 2026-07-30 (52 days)explicit

Expected moves:

  • 2026-06-10 (2d): ±$5.03 (2.1%)
  • 2026-06-12 (4d): ±$7.47 (3.0%)
  • 2026-06-15 (7d): ±$8.62 (3.5%)

IV Setup

Term structure: Upward sloping; near-dated IV low (5-9%), longer-dated higher (29-57%).

Crush estimate: Not applicable (event far out).

Skew: Slight call bias; put/call vol ratio 0.66.

Historical Context

Beat rate: 80% (4/5 quarters)

Avg move vs expected: Not provided.

Directional bias: Beat rate 80%, historically bullish.

Key Levels

1EM guardrails: 2d $240.19/$250.25; 1w $236.60/$253.85
2Max pain pins: $250 (2026-06-08); $252 (2026-06-10); $255 (2026-06-12)

Flow Highlights

Heavy call buying on 6/8 $245C and $247.5C (vol/oi 72.5x, 43.8x).

Aggressive short-term bullish bets; likely pinning around $250 MP.

Notable put activity on 6/8 $245P (vol/oi 19.8x).

Potential hedging or bearish speculation.

Strategies

Iron Condor
Sell 2026-07-10 $245.00/$235.00 put wing and $255.00/$265.00 call wing
Credit: $5.96-$7.29
Max loss: $2.71
Max gain: $7.29
BE: 237.71 / 262.29
Trigger: Close at 50% profit or if spot breaks $235 or $265.
Safest given pinning at $250 MP; defined risk at low IV.
Outperforms: Sell put spread 245/235 and call spread 255/265 to capture theta decay.
Underperforms: Move outside short strikes invalidates range thesis.
Short Strangle
Sell 2026-07-10 $240.00 put + sell $260.00 call
Credit: $9.40-$11.50
Max loss: Unlimited
Max gain: $11.50
BE: 228.50 / 271.50
Trigger: Set stops near $235 or $265; roll at 2x credit.
Higher premium than IC but unlimited risk; suitable with stop-loss.
Outperforms: Sell $240 put and $260 call to collect premium from low IV.
Underperforms: Break outside short strikes invalidates short-vol thesis.

Risk Assessment

!Price pinned at $250 MP (6/8).
!Call wall at $260-$350 overhead resistance.
!Support at $233.15; break could accelerate selling.

What to Watch

?Monitor spot action around $250 MP pinning.
?Watch for continued unusual call volume on near-dated expiries.
?Earnings date 7/30 far out; no immediate catalyst.
How to Use These Reports
This earnings reflects the market close on June 8, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.