thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $312.06EOD only
Max Pain
$310.00
Next expiry Jun 1, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.59
1.1% from close
Price Gap
-2.06
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
29
Middle-high premium
P/C OI
0.71
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
9.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: May 29, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
May 29, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

You are viewing an older report from April 13, 2026. A newer ai consensus report is available for May 26, 2026.

View latest report
Conviction
7.0

out of 10

Score 7 because multiple independent signals (GEX, directional flow, and positioning) converge on a $260 magnet, but conviction is capped by a concrete short-term risk: ultra-near expiry gamma/IV behavior and a VIX-style regime flip could rapidly invalidate short-premium structures — enough to lower conviction from a 9 but not to the mid-range.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin into the $260 area driven by concentrated dealer short-gamma and bullish flow — momentum is biased higher and dealer hedging currently reinforces mean-reversion into $260.

Where They Diverge

Theta wants to harvest short-dated premium (sell near-expiry calls/condors) while the directional view flags ultra-near 0–4d IV dynamics that can compress or spike into expiry; that directly undermines short-near expiry premium-selling because outsized gamma moves would blow up short positions. Flow and directional align on upside, so the primary incompatibility is between short-dated theta-selling and documented expiry/gamma squeeze risk.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 01 265/270 call spread for a net credit (~$0.40–$0.60) — defined-risk call spread that collects premium while staying above the $260 magnet.

Key Risk

A break below $255.47 (2d EM lower bound) that causes dealer gamma to flip from short to long — consequence: the pin collapses and downside accelerates toward $244.53 over the next 1–10 trading days, invalidating the bullish magnet thesis.

How to Use These Reports
This ai consensus reflects the market close on April 13, 2026.
What the reports do

Each report translates the same market-close options snapshot into a specific lens such as directional bias, premium-selling posture, flow quality, or earnings setup.

How traders use them

Reports are most useful for narrowing the playbook, surfacing entry and risk context, and deciding which raw data page to inspect next.

What to remember

These are interpretation layers, not execution guarantees. Validate the setup against chain liquidity, expected move, and exposure before sizing risk.

If the report conviction and the raw data disagree, slow down and resolve the mismatch before sizing risk.