thetaOwl

AAPL

Apple Inc.Close $259.20EOD only
Max Pain
$255.00
Next expiry Apr 15, 2026
Expected Move
±$3.73
1.4% from close
Price Gap
-4.20
Distance to max pain
IV Rank
72
High premium
P/C OI
0.73
Slightly call-heavy
Consensus
7.0/10
Bullish tilt
Published snapshot: Apr 13, 2026 close
End-of-day snapshot

This page reflects AAPL options positioning from the latest published market-close snapshot. Intraday price and contract changes are not displayed.

Published Snapshot
Apr 13, 2026 close
AAPL AI Consensus Report
Analysis based on market close April 13, 2026

Historical consensus-supported lens with full content, report chain context, and metric rail.

Conviction
7.0

out of 10

Score 7 because multiple independent signals (GEX, directional flow, and positioning) converge on a $260 magnet, but conviction is capped by a concrete short-term risk: ultra-near expiry gamma/IV behavior and a VIX-style regime flip could rapidly invalidate short-premium structures — enough to lower conviction from a 9 but not to the mid-range.

Where Perspectives Agree

Bullish pin into the $260 area driven by concentrated dealer short-gamma and bullish flow — momentum is biased higher and dealer hedging currently reinforces mean-reversion into $260.

Where They Diverge

Theta wants to harvest short-dated premium (sell near-expiry calls/condors) while the directional view flags ultra-near 0–4d IV dynamics that can compress or spike into expiry; that directly undermines short-near expiry premium-selling because outsized gamma moves would blow up short positions. Flow and directional align on upside, so the primary incompatibility is between short-dated theta-selling and documented expiry/gamma squeeze risk.

Top Trade
via theta

Sell May 01 265/270 call spread for a net credit (~$0.40–$0.60) — defined-risk call spread that collects premium while staying above the $260 magnet.

Key Risk

A break below $255.47 (2d EM lower bound) that causes dealer gamma to flip from short to long — consequence: the pin collapses and downside accelerates toward $244.53 over the next 1–10 trading days, invalidating the bullish magnet thesis.

Read the AI Analyst Consensus for AAPL for 2026-04-13. This synthesis report combines directional, theta, flow, and earnings perspectives into one conviction view with setup, trigger, and invalidation context.